Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65a5fdad0812fced6b9f1160c25e9501dea08f31b1055dd215aed2e4055aeaea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 44c | 5,805$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.34 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 56c | 4,725$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 40c | 4,408$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.15 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes | 44c | 4,220$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 2,552$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 66c | 2,501$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.85 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 34c | 2,222$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.66 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 1,666$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.04 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 24c | 987$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 25c | 606.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 25c | 588$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 24c | 559.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 24c | 517.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 36c | 499.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.81 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 75c | 463.24$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Yes | 37c | 449.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 54c | 371.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…15d4backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…c2b1backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 55c | 289.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes | 58c | 276.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 71c | 141.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 37c | 125.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 82.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 76c | 70.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 59.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 63c | 55.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 46.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 59c | 40.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 54c | 37.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.