MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b18abe9efbe3510a9753199b328c42756e7910b4dee11a3c25121b5a9ca1f18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 1,676$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.3 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed NC Dinos | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed NC Dinos | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 367.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 75c | 335.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 256.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed NC Dinos | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 214.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed NC Dinos | 57c | 199.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 160.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 153.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 138.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 127.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…498cbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 110.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 103.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed NC Dinos | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 87.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Hanwha Eagles | 33c | 79.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 77.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hanwha Eagles | 35c | 74.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Hanwha Eagles | 38c | 74.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NC Dinos | 53c | 60.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 55.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 65c | 50.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed NC Dinos | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 38.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 50c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 34.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked NC Dinos | 58c | 31.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…850dbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 22.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed NC Dinos | 53c | 21.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NC Dinos | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed NC Dinos | 71c | 14.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.