TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x46ee…eb1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT6229%18 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.95
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.14
Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.41
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.05
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by between 20% and 30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$31.44
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.67
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$36.07
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.62
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$11.43
Will the Democratic Party win 15 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.8
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.06
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.37
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+762.2%+$748.82
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.72
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$309.9
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$158.64
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$101.08
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.31
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.49
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5020%10 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.34
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$356.27
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.77
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.41
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
England to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.18
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.6
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.44
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.25
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$145
Australia to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.37
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+55.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigersbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$155
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigersbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$164.5
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.3
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$18.3
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.5
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.41
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+1,187.7%+$1,579.02
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.96
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$99.63
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.16
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+566.7%+$255.38
KBO Playoff: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$33
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.32
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$124.2
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick19cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.44
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+128%+$513.4
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$67.7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$271.75
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+341.2%+$695.98
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+186.4%+$715.98
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$698
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$162.9
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+488.2%+$934.57
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$448.17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$456.73
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+228.4%+$76.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Fed rate cut by June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+184.1%+$56.3
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$66.6
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$23.55
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$655
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$360
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.47
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+354.8%+$234.04
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.47
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$44.09
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$32.64
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$33.3
Will Crystal Palace vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+40.8%+$13.92
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.71
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+104.3%+$19.4
Will Everton win on 2024-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Brentford win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+100%+$17.5
Will Fulham win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$66.83
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,719.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.25
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.62
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.18
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.99
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.6
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$489.97
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$64.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.49
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+319.5%+$316.98
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$279.82
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+138.9%+$639.41
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$139.4
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.9
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.98
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+202.3%+$110.03
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+254.9%+$531.48
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$60.49
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.37
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.19
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.7
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+63.9%+$42.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+647%+$2,685
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.25
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+1,029.2%+$106.46
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.69
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will RB Salzburg beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$66.08
Will the match between Barcelona and Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$18.7
Will Aston Villa beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.75
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.6%+$38.5
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$202.07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$1,640
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.54
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$103.5
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$284.98
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Solana all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.06
Will Solana reach $210 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+452.5%+$95.95
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.17
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$276.28
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+210.7%+$888.25
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$323
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$193
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST110%0 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.76
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$519.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.4
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.5
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.19
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick18cpaid-34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.34
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$45.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$92.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.