Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f23cc18798b41dacef58a53cc8744b7d73de0d5cfa78e8a1c73c9c11d53fd61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 67c | 1,023$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 33c | 975$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 76c | 692.58$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 31c | 342.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…8be3backed Yes | 30c | 337.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 11c | 333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 70c | 234.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 70c | 216.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…6933backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 27c | 161.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 68c | 96.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed No | 72c | 69.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…c004backed Yes | 30c | 61.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…e694backed No | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked No | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…c452backed Yes | 31c | 44.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…15f6backed Yes | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 71c | 24.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…1d5dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-09?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.