Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2024-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85865f55c487ee46f0466e2c19576f538e4b25b64e9d5653b4fa3cb5741cccf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 58c | 2,307$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.4 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 57c | 1,206$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.19 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 60c | 1,102$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.74 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 41c | 1,045$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.7 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 56c | 550.78$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.08 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…c074backed No | 32c | 415.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4d4ebacked No | 31c | 411.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 68c | 401.74$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 63c | 347.37$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 304.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 39c | 265.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 67c | 259.34$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…3228backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 61c | 221.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 38c | 198.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Yes | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…d9f2backed Yes | 37c | 101.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…040abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed Yes | 74c | 93.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 49c | 93.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 57c | 87.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 58c | 86.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…6987backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…5e9fbacked No | 66c | 52.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 42c | 51.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 47c | 51.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3407backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Yes | 38c | 51.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…7aeabacked Yes | 43c | 48.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…b6c2backed Yes | 37c | 48.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…6062backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d527backed Yes | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…5df8backed Yes | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…eb93backed Yes | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bc…22ffbacked Yes | 45c | 36.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 37c | 35.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…74b6backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2024-11-09?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.