Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d48f44a439dd4f38661f9055ea1d06c857725d02033cb551296eec5199d93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 1,532$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 71c | 1,037$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 24c | 547.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 7c | 444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 33c | 221.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 68c | 218.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 71c | 197$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 32c | 157.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 65c | 115.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…2caebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…3312backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 69c | 95.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 39c | 79.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 61c | 72.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…285cbacked No | 66c | 66.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Yes | 35c | 61.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked No | 63c | 61.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf078…889abacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd633…1198backed Yes | 39c | 47.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…5e22backed Yes | 37c | 41.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 70c | 40.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…c291backed Yes | 39c | 37.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c207backed Yes | 40c | 33.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 31.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…2909backed Yes | 40c | 31.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ba…e5a9backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…5df8backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed No | 67c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-09?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.