TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $210 in May?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$986,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$937,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd02…aba7backed Yes14c164,069$22,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,491.526124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45af…9158backed Yes7c71,377$5,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,208.575514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked No79c51,175$40,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,955.481833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes8c27,342$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.744240.5%17 W · 25 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+110%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes7c25,888$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.157328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes13c21,775$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.1415023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9af…05adbacked Yes13c15,551$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.86018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes17c13,572$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.6658126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c12,229$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.391,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes18c12,152$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.3563835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes6c8,857$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.491414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…8794backed Yes23c6,997$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes20c6,958$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.4225824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes8c6,704$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.8112020%24 W · 96 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes11c5,694$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.922623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes7c5,223$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.532270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No70c4,150$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.9813038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes10c3,704$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.11306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-84.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes14c3,600$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5167949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9082…e0a7backed Yes9c2,241$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-59.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes6c2,166$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9637745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes23c2,127$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.141024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc394…fb0abacked Yes16c2,004$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca4…9837backed Yes32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403721.6%8 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d34…17e8backed Yes15c1,990$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.44110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Yes9c1,928$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.492520%5 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c1,920$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1364812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb2a…a436backed Yes9c1,649$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes6c1,218$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.363053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes9c1,199$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6332524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed No73c1,110$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No71c1,071$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.889054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes13c1,067$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-74.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7689…2fa9backed Yes23c1,057$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.583452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27014075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4093…823cbacked Yes27c990$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.421926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes15c864.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.887229.2%21 W · 51 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked Yes17c864.63$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.992035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff38…738dbacked Yes21c755.36$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.22825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe39…6c97backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f1…cd9abacked No79c602.06$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes23c570.03$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.327540%30 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…d90bbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes6c505.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-86%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7560%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…4a27backed Yes19c470$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Yes32c462.28$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5177…93c9backed Yes32c436.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.841136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+226.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf09f…f8abbacked Yes36c411.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe731…134fbacked No77c410.71$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+269.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ba9…3407backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…8e9cbacked No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf5…54b9backed No73c371.44$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…8ca9backed Yes20c354.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391e…d930backed No77c354.35$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.241040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ef…a56fbacked No64c353.06$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…e29abacked Yes8c338$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.04520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c18…3570backed No66c333$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf28…e4dbbacked No74c309.85$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350c…8955backed No74c308.45$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa0…10adbacked No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…9fe0backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes7c299.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211519.9%15 W · 136 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0af…275abacked Yes33c299.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da8…0cc3backed No74c285.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4434…54b8backed No73c285.11$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf2…4fedbacked No78c282.42$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…1e6dbacked No76c275.79$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e1…99febacked No73c268.15$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29da…3fd2backed No74c264.09$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ac…9879backed No79c256.34$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d2…3ce9backed Yes11c254.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…7900backed No73c253.37$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3575…9a1cbacked Yes11c250.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fee…e722backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b7…4e8abacked No79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No67c250$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.94949%24 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fbc…4594backed No76c249.72$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc3…d29ebacked No80c248.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6b…345dbacked No80c244.95$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…670bbacked No75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe868…201bbacked No75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c4…bfbebacked No76c236.63$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d71…7387backed No78c232.38$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4b…2b52backed No77c231.55$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f63…a68cbacked No78c230.41$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7410…04a3backed Yes20c230.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c8…0a6dbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa283…5a9fbacked No74c222$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…afe5backed No78c220$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1505…2bf5backed No76c219.4$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…7c6ebacked No76c213.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes16c213.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf8…b24fbacked Yes9c210.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5d…d73fbacked Yes19c207.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…bb86backed No75c205.36$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.