Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $170 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a0cd807e94e8a32876c28621ffab9cca9a1ec4caa6437c29cabe09cf49bbaab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45af…9158backed No | 7c | 14,431$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.46 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 19c | 14,000$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 50c | 11,050$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.03 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 45c | 8,704$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.27 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 79c | 8,144$6,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 66c | 7,238$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.96 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 12c | 4,219$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.17 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 8c | 3,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 61c | 2,551$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.17 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,410$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.06 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 22c | 1,921$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…7044backed Yes | 52c | 1,896$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 31c | 1,509$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.79 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 1,249$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,100$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 52c | 1,100$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.45 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 45c | 1,053$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed Yes | 48c | 830$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…02d7backed No | 65c | 766.15$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 752.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 47c | 616.55$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.84 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 9c | 605.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed No | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…128fbacked No | 40c | 571.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 55c | 543.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…05b6backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 17c | 410$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 77c | 399.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…c11dbacked No | 28c | 320$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…d24ebacked No | 64c | 310.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 20c | 306$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 52c | 301.95$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…18debacked Yes | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed Yes | 46c | 193$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…6c97backed Yes | 49c | 189.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 54c | 188.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…0333backed No | 46c | 175.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked Yes | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…928bbacked No | 54c | 135.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…823cbacked Yes | 37c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed No | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…c4cbbacked No | 60c | 85.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…d73fbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed Yes | 56c | 61.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…02edbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…0cd0backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…b617backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…d512backed Yes | 44c | 27.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 58c | 27.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…41febacked Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…0aadbacked Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…e423backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…9795backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $170 in May?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.