TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4552…0333

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$41.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$14.88
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$8.37
Will Solana reach $100 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$10.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.42
Will Solana dip to $80 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Will Solana reach $110 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.94
Aster all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.5%+$42.31
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$275.08
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.24
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$149.85
Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$86.8
Will XRP reach $3.50 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$130.72
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.94
Will Solana dip to $180 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.65
Will XRP reach $3.20 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$39.45
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$123.17
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$554.48
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$9.6
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.38
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$15.26
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42%+$23.08
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.68
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$9.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+553.6%+$143.34
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$24.08
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$60.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+41.5%+$8.31
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.83
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+37%+$3.87
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$15.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+151%+$36.1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$16.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$76.25
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$43.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$12.89
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$13.61
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.23
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$40.32
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.92
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$440.67
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+387%+$89.4
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+76%+$22.8
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick66cpaid-77.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.18
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.63
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$9.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+41.7%+$13.15
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will FC Porto beat FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$44.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25.7%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-03-31 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.