NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c573a6335a85d8314b266daec60985203580cb5d7e8798a35bc679444f73f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Bucks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bucks | 27c | 8,331$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.58 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 34c | 7,823$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bucks | 42c | 6,077$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.96 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 51c | 5,605$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.45 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 36c | 5,360$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.79 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Celtics | 54c | 4,983$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Bucks | 8c | 4,953$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.63 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Celtics | 78c | 3,979$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks | 37c | 3,708$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.97 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Celtics | 76c | 3,521$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.01 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Celtics | 75c | 3,344$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.49 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Celtics | 68c | 2,766$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.03 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 76c | 2,500$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.99 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Bucks | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 4c | 2,265$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bucks | 56c | 2,153$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.95 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…dc5ebacked Bucks | 26c | 2,135$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Bucks | 25c | 2,016$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.35 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bucks | 28c | 2,010$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.92 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks | 26c | 2,005$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.09 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Bucks | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…9ea7backed Celtics | 77c | 1,947$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Celtics | 76c | 1,635$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…f0c1backed Celtics | 75c | 1,611$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Bucks | 25c | 1,601$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.73 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Celtics | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Celtics | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.3 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Celtics | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Celtics | 78c | 1,383$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Celtics | 75c | 1,380$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 24c | 1,308$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.06 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Celtics | 75c | 1,265$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Celtics | 76c | 1,217$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Celtics | 75c | 1,201$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.13 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Bucks | 35c | 1,137$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Bucks | 6c | 1,121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ae…afc4backed Celtics | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Bucks | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed Bucks | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Celtics | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Bucks | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Bucks | 24c | 1,000$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Celtics | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bucks | 25c | 999.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Celtics | 75c | 999$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…9f73backed Bucks | 25c | 961.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bucks | 24c | 950.68$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.27 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 53c | 901.09$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.03 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Bucks | 34c | 899.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Bucks | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Celtics | 67c | 747.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Celtics | 75c | 742$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Celtics | 78c | 719.53$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Celtics | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bucks | 33c | 646.93$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…0db2backed Bucks | 26c | 610.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…08abbacked Celtics | 67c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Bucks | 14c | 592.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Bucks | 18c | 589.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Bucks | 38c | 577.96$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks | 21c | 575$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bucks | 37c | 555.39$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed Bucks | 26c | 548.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Bucks | 23c | 529.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…65afbacked Celtics | 75c | 527.2$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Celtics | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Celtics | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Celtics | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Celtics | 62c | 486.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Celtics | 72c | 482.31$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Celtics | 75c | 481.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Bucks | 22c | 444$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…e0c2backed Bucks | 23c | 443.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Bucks | 25c | 430.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Celtics | 77c | 427.06$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Celtics | 71c | 425.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Bucks | 28c | 421.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…ec9bbacked Celtics | 77c | 408.72$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Celtics | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Celtics | 75c | 405.4$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Celtics | 68c | 403.03$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Celtics | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…cb7ebacked Celtics | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…fac8backed Bucks | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…3c41backed Bucks | 25c | 399.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Celtics | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Celtics | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks | 37c | 385.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Celtics | 74c | 365.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4da9backed Celtics | 75c | 358.77$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Celtics | 75c | 346.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…37dfbacked Bucks | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…75a4backed Bucks | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bucks | 25c | 338.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Bucks | 31c | 326.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.