NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfcbaa9a402806aa70910ddc64179d29af5bdbac676ec79ac600912f0db26c1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Browns, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $935,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $950,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $935,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Browns | 25c | 196,100$49,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,385.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Patriots | 77c | 103,896$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,896.1 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Browns | 24c | 88,373$20,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800.79 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Browns | 41c | 69,048$28,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,339.64 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Browns | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Patriots | 76c | 39,473$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,473.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Browns | 23c | 35,941$8,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,266.38 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…af44backed Patriots | 77c | 35,870$27,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Browns | 25c | 35,092$8,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,664.85 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 74c | 33,302$24,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,545.33 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 76c | 30,000$22,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Browns | 3c | 28,060$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.89 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Patriots | 62c | 24,499$15,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,412.93 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Browns | 23c | 21,730$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.9 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Browns | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Patriots | 54c | 17,197$9,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,905.46 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Browns | 24c | 16,391$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.06 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Patriots | 75c | 14,485$10,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Browns | 25c | 12,264$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.06 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Patriots | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Patriots | 65c | 9,429$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.89 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Patriots | 70c | 8,777$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.93 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Patriots | 77c | 8,701$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.3 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Browns | 24c | 6,850$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Browns | 24c | 5,416$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.83 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Patriots | 76c | 5,134$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.23 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Browns | 24c | 5,130$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.2 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots | 72c | 4,807$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.52 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Browns | 1c | 4,077$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Browns | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Browns | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Browns | 24c | 3,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.78 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Browns | 24c | 3,956$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Patriots | 60c | 3,759$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.71 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Browns | 38c | 3,652$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Browns | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Patriots | 75c | 3,445$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.32 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Patriots | 73c | 3,380$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.6 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Patriots | 77c | 3,303$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.92 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Browns | 35c | 3,092$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.44 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Patriots | 70c | 3,050$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.85 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 63c | 3,011$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.36 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Browns | 24c | 3,005$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.22 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…af6cbacked Patriots | 76c | 2,980$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 76c | 2,922$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.37 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Patriots | 75c | 2,717$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.83 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Browns | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…a4debacked Browns | 24c | 2,400$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Patriots | 76c | 2,250$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Browns | 24c | 1,997$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.25 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Browns | 24c | 1,996$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Browns | 32c | 1,891$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.57 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Patriots | 75c | 1,825$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…92ccbacked Browns | 24c | 1,825$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…72b5backed Patriots | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…aa7ebacked Patriots | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Patriots | 60c | 1,662$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.15 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked Patriots | 76c | 1,449$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f1e8backed Browns | 25c | 1,447$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Patriots | 66c | 1,408$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Browns | 24c | 1,350$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Browns | 4c | 1,297$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Browns | 23c | 1,279$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…ffccbacked Patriots | 77c | 1,253$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…7a7bbacked Browns | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Browns | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots | 76c | 1,151$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.32 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Browns | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Patriots | 74c | 1,003$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Patriots | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Browns | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Browns | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Patriots | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Patriots | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Browns | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Patriots | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Browns | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Browns | 27c | 910.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…a645backed Patriots | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Browns | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Browns | 1c | 848$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Browns | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Browns | 34c | 797.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Patriots | 67c | 750.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Patriots | 77c | 727$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Patriots | 75c | 718.85$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Patriots | 76c | 709.78$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.35 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…0d27backed Patriots | 70c | 701.25$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 23c | 653.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Browns | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Browns | 41c | 642.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…6c41backed Patriots | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Patriots | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed Browns | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Patriots | 62c | 591$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Patriots | 61c | 578.07$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.07 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Patriots | 77c | 563.87$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Patriots | 61c | 528.34$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Patriots | 76c | 528$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Patriotsthis page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Browns won
- Browns vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Browns vs. Patriots: O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.