TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,863 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c6,054$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.112,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Over64c5,217$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under54c5,064$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.614852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under45c4,157$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.0339749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under45c2,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6717949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over54c2,632$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.8444047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over40c2,272$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.9515243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc765…9322backed Under64c2,179$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9848440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over37c1,621$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.4115829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Under58c1,592$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.084949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over54c1,583$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.41,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over65c1,527$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011143.2%48 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Over59c1,250$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.426556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under45c1,248$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.7118829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ac…b435backed Over56c1,247$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Over41c1,242$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.3175942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over3c1,049$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over19c987.64$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…018dbacked Over55c908.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…e946backed Over42c892.86$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.028647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Under60c690.1$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7423240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c659.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.741,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6abbbacked Under48c627.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.083174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under62c591$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.413,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under45c556.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2118747.1%88 W · 99 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over55c523.17$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1643442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over60c503.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29529240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under43c474.42$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4218244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under46c457.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6720252%105 W · 97 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Over57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.848243.2%208 W · 274 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c439.97$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.981,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over35c429$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over47c416.7$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.441,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed Over50c400$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Over55c362.38$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.315463%34 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over55c361.05$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9414935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Over38c340$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.210038%38 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under64c313.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.545070%35 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under46c302.17$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.174744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over60c284.5$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Over59c279.39$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.844639.1%18 W · 28 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over55c272.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe69c…9e25backed Over56c262.55$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e54…c8ccbacked Under76c259.72$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.333548.6%17 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Over42c254.79$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.183154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under48c253$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3250749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Over55c238.11$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9631352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over54c230$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12554354.9%298 W · 245 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a5…c6e3backed Over20c216$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4894…a083backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over46c209$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8615031.3%47 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10828655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.117945.3%81 W · 98 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over11c199.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9111316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6591…cec3backed Over20c196$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under45c196$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.581553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+68.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036852.2%192 W · 176 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over56c177.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.631855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9415…4c4cbacked Over20c176$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Over46c175.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Over54c158$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.325244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over52c155$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.622636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x243f…2915backed Under61c154.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.26850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Over38c151.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.682642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over41c146.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3840543.7%177 W · 228 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Under61c143.9$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.485259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c32…f79bbacked Over20c137$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Under61c135.14$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.795951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under51c133.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2996749.8%482 W · 485 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed Under62c133.19$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over43c126.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5930445.7%139 W · 165 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over47c121$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2523348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under49c119$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8943947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606740.3%27 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Over66c105.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf180…9235backed Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under50c105$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8930545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…5acebacked Under47c103.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8a7…203fbacked Under64c102.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under38c99.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.721,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over45c93.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.415442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over55c91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0728559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e66…4d03backed Over55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Over57c87.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012736.2%46 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf639…efd8backed Under61c86.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.961353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Under46c84.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b23…8af0backed Under60c83.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7321448.6%104 W · 110 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b9…cea8backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa224…92cfbacked Over55c79.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.