Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9894955b029004c218a5cd01b01f72a8e9205cdcaadb924a0c3ae31d98fb0032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Gen.G | 67c | 1,612$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.22 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming | 40c | 1,248$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.27 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Gen.G | 53c | 626.64$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 37c | 576.63$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.35 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Gen.G | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Gen.G | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed JD Gaming | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Gen.G | 58c | 139.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Gen.G | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…f726backed JD Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Gen.G | 56c | 98.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Gen.G | 60c | 58.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Gen.G | 54c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 251 | 51%128 W · 123 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Gen.G | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Gen.G | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…1138backed Gen.G | 60c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed JD Gaming | 60c | 24.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?JD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group BGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.