TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6a8…1138

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Lol at 50 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT6227.4%17 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+266.5%+$374.89
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$199.15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.67
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+260.4%+$193.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$192.95
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+273.1%+$136.57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$34.78
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$88.06
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$99.37
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$29.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
First Blood in Game 3?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$13.1
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.1%+$5.82
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.3%+$15.76
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.