TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming34c17,037$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,768.1554851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G2 Esports65c15,501$10,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,495.426050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed XLG Gaming29c6,870$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked G2 Esports71c3,453$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed XLG Gaming35c3,250$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.1522649.1%111 W · 115 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed XLG Gaming32c2,857$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.634438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked G2 Esports52c2,117$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.9611450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed G2 Esports78c1,590$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.673756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked XLG Gaming28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked G2 Esports57c1,499$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.1342140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Esports70c1,344$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports61c1,222$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.3268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports70c1,186$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed G2 Esports68c1,165$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked G2 Esports63c1,148$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.6130652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed G2 Esports75c1,057$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.136259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed G2 Esports75c1,006$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6628151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports70c975.15$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5765559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked XLG Gaming51c956.61$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked XLG Gaming23c896.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4926450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Esports41c890.33$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Esports56c787.52$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.271,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed XLG Gaming11c772.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.997045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming38c713.22$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.693649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 Esports63c705.72$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.837737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked G2 Esports61c696.63$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.961,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed XLG Gaming58c616.8$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+264%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339d…1503backed G2 Esports75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed G2 Esports54c558.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed XLG Gaming29c524.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming25c520$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13093248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked XLG Gaming48c518.45$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed G2 Esports60c497.15$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8625046.4%116 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4891…2a07backed XLG Gaming54c464.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-75.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed XLG Gaming21c444.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.246755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked XLG Gaming25c435.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11025536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed XLG Gaming47c423.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked XLG Gaming40c420.62$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.893638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb37b…3345backed XLG Gaming30c389.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked G2 Esports71c387.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.292369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed G2 Esports66c375$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.514850%74 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed G2 Esports74c362.31$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.746373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked XLG Gaming21c357.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747716.9%13 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7452…5ccbbacked XLG Gaming38c299.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-82.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked XLG Gaming42c282.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6312147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked XLG Gaming39c272$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked XLG Gaming57c263$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.911838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked XLG Gaming40c249.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9924457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed G2 Esports48c249.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.993571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd20…24dabacked XLG Gaming4c235$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105523.6%13 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed G2 Esports73c228.11$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2742540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd86…d74fbacked XLG Gaming41c223.13$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.461471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked G2 Esports67c212.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1914452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Esports64c210.89$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3385138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked G2 Esports68c206.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8796945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G2 Esports77c205.01$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2956557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked XLG Gaming41c200.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed XLG Gaming41c200.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.757745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed G2 Esports76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4853742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed G2 Esports76c197.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7919656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e4…4f28backed G2 Esports70c192.22$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed XLG Gaming54c186.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed XLG Gaming29c175.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9816031.3%50 W · 110 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…9755backed XLG Gaming29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed XLG Gaming59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed G2 Esports61c164.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1821454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed XLG Gaming13c155$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.756350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed XLG Gaming24c149.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.57020%14 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed G2 Esports73c149$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5829151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb391…0d70backed G2 Esports77c147.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed G2 Esports60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5618948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed XLG Gaming53c134.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8822455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked G2 Esports77c128.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.677356.2%41 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8faa…e76abacked G2 Esports58c127.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.995642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be3…35febacked G2 Esports78c124.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.412867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed G2 Esports48c124.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.251,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked XLG Gaming19c123.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2553455.2%295 W · 239 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked G2 Esports77c121.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212962.8%81 W · 48 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked G2 Esports72c115.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2818653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked XLG Gaming35c114.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.442347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed XLG Gaming53c109.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked G2 Esports68c107.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1231227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5ae8…e1b3backed G2 Esports79c100.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked XLG Gaming19c100.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0615217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d7…cfe0backed XLG Gaming29c100.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick34cpaid+105.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10f8…e7f5backed XLG Gaming20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a8…1138backed XLG Gaming20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked XLG Gaming25c99.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258343.4%36 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports43c98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked XLG Gaming55c91.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed XLG Gaming15c87.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.876040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked G2 Esports72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…9fffbacked XLG Gaming49c82.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked G2 Esports65c81.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8318261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x816f…5e5dbacked XLG Gaming26c76.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked XLG Gaming39c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308357.8%48 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec09…4c2fbacked XLG Gaming40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked XLG Gaming41c73.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9bd0backed G2 Esports62c69.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked XLG Gaming28c68.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0870543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.