TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof G2 Esports, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports58c150,395$86,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,616.0252155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed XLG Gaming42c131,266$55,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,724.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+151.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed XLG Gaming43c15,000$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,549.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed XLG Gaming43c9,000$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1305242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming45c8,137$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.4228955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3927…8ae1backed G2 Esports57c5,219$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed XLG Gaming43c2,760$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.662245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37db…dff4backed G2 Esports56c2,598$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.898050%40 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed G2 Esports59c2,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked XLG Gaming43c2,217$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.711450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed XLG Gaming44c2,125$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.156848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed XLG Gaming43c2,013$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.5151749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked G2 Esports56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.986445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed XLG Gaming42c1,962$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.116352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed G2 Esports57c1,760$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.187934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed G2 Esports57c1,650$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.526051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed G2 Esports55c1,547$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.454736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked G2 Esports57c1,320$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.372934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed G2 Esports56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.9733348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x567d…16d0backed G2 Esports57c1,142$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports55c999.98$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked XLG Gaming41c999$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4155152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed XLG Gaming45c806.97$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8318143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d62dbacked G2 Esports55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.52035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked XLG Gaming44c712.31$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6331046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked G2 Esports55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked G2 Esports55c625.43$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9913148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed XLG Gaming45c620$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3412147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed XLG Gaming46c559.7$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2425556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked G2 Esports57c557.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0536138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed XLG Gaming42c500.1$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0625453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 Esports55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9936648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed G2 Esports55c446.4$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2447646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…76e2backed G2 Esports57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked G2 Esports57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebdc…778abacked G2 Esports55c438$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.94045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked XLG Gaming53c434.91$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.912268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed XLG Gaming43c431$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.675147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed G2 Esports55c428.68$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed G2 Esports55c381.82$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x662a…150ebacked G2 Esports54c370.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce3…44eabacked G2 Esports57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed G2 Esports56c344.64$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19314941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e81…9e26backed G2 Esports68c336.58$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.391560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed G2 Esports55c322.89$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5917640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked XLG Gaming45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16525843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed XLG Gaming43c290.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.785158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked G2 Esports39c290.01$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.96251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked XLG Gaming44c271.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.969340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked XLG Gaming44c268.18$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1828747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed G2 Esports57c256.14$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed XLG Gaming31c245.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.465444.4%24 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed XLG Gaming43c229.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.925100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked XLG Gaming44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dcb…50fcbacked G2 Esports53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed G2 Esports55c202$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.15939%23 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked XLG Gaming58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed G2 Esports57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed G2 Esports57c193.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5827145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked G2 Esports55c193.92$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.598646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbd…a36bbacked G2 Esports57c178.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked G2 Esports57c176$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked XLG Gaming35c173.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb3…9e69backed G2 Esports55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbff…b7a7backed G2 Esports55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1d…a725backed G2 Esports57c143.71$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked XLG Gaming44c139.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.433947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066d…1bffbacked G2 Esports55c136.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked G2 Esports75c132.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008357.8%48 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked G2 Esports55c128.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.768243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed XLG Gaming35c123.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1163447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed G2 Esports55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed G2 Esports55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked G2 Esports57c101.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed XLG Gaming48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed XLG Gaming45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5514252.1%74 W · 68 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed XLG Gaming46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.321457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed XLG Gaming46c99.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.533265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked G2 Esports57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed G2 Esports57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae8…e1b3backed G2 Esports62c79.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked G2 Esports55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed G2 Esports55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0b…3284backed G2 Esports57c69.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.35955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb45…0c68backed G2 Esports55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed G2 Esports55c54.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.742123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed G2 Esports57c52.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0117555.4%97 W · 78 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed G2 Esports57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed G2 Esports57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed XLG Gaming80c51.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3539166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e26…5358backed G2 Esports58c51.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed XLG Gaming34c51.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7549255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed G2 Esports55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked XLG Gaming43c49.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+97.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed XLG Gaming44c47.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed XLG Gaming44c44.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.174060%24 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed XLG Gaming43c44.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed XLG Gaming42c43.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed G2 Esports55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed G2 Esports55c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.817948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.