Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7692b2b005774acb8478a80ad8bfa75acd05b05d45f4dae6de609a2aa1c27439

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $857,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $532,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,372 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	0c	50,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	7c	28,004$2,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,081.04	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	15,190$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.76	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	13,000$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	12,770$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.95	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	6c	12,342$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.43	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	10c	11,876$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.35	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,233$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	9,876$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.44	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	8,638$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.43	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	13c	7,870$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.22	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	15c	6,881$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.57	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	10c	6,104$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.2	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	5c	6,059$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.64	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	6,000$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	9c	5,570$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.25	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	9c	5,563$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.82	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	22c	5,224$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.19	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	79c	5,119$4,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.83	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	19c	5,062$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.85	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	5,000$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	4,860$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.94	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	12c	4,833$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.68	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	4c	4,444$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.65	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	11c	4,440$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.98	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	6c	4,345$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.79	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd341…b73fbacked Yes	7c	4,255$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.01	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	4,221$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.94	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	4,200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…3e81backed No	80c	4,116$3,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	4c	4,062$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.73	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	9c	4,005$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.94	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	8c	3,985$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe190…e93dbacked Yes	4c	3,955$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.51	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-29%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1c…3a01backed Yes	24c	3,926$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.52	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	3,814$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.95	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	14c	3,805$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.63	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	12c	3,662$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.13	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030a…aad9backed Yes	3c	3,649$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.68	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	3,607$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.43	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	3,598$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.91	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	13c	3,574$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.93	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9d…5954backed Yes	0c	3,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	13c	3,393$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.08	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	12c	3,175$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.93	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	12c	3,126$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.31	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	3,015$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.63	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	3,000$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes	2c	2,951$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.25	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	2,797$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.55	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	9c	2,774$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.4	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	2,751$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.04	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	10c	2,592$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.88	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	12c	2,550$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.61	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	6c	2,530$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.3	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	7c	2,480$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.45	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	2,446$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.02	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	14c	2,439$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.49	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	4c	2,400$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.2	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e78backed Yes	10c	2,304$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.36	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	5c	2,300$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.2	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	2,236$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.62	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	6c	2,186$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.76	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	4c	2,139$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	2,075$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.82	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	6c	2,074$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.99	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	10c	2,000$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.5	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	7c	1,922$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.97	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	11c	1,910$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.69	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	16c	1,892$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.55	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,812$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.5	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	7c	1,800$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.4	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	16c	1,775$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.38	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	8c	1,767$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.71	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	14c	1,739$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.97	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	1,722$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.96	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	8c	1,700$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9a…05f1backed Yes	3c	1,678$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.32	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	10c	1,572$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.63	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	11c	1,547$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.76	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	13c	1,531$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.62	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	10c	1,498$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.97	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	10c	1,400$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	10c	1,384$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.42	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x960b…9303backed Yes	10c	1,383$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.83	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	11c	1,345$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.58	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	12c	1,342$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	5c	1,291$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.06	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	77c	1,277$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.87	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	1,234$928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.89	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	1,233$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.18	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	7c	1,231$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.85	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	18c	1,225$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.08	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	16c	1,206$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.08	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	12c	1,187$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.48	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event