Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6efd6a60618727ba1cc95af1f360a62e54e6a446aa59028272a90fd5e73c25e9

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $623,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $264,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	25,879$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.64	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	15,020$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	14,589$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.75	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	1c	13,312$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd354…4d78backed Yes	0c	11,140$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.52	59	18.6%11 W · 48 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	10,826$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.11	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe52c…9dcbbacked Yes	0c	9,823$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	0c	9,672$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	8,857$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.44	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	3c	8,435$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.42	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	7,290$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.74	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	0c	6,880$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c33…dab9backed Yes	0c	6,341$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	6,085$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.78	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	5,908$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	0c	5,056$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe976…97c0backed Yes	1c	4,761$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	3c	4,712$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.3	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	4,200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.65	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	4,128$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.67	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	4,091$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.86	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	1c	3,996$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	1c	3,915$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	3,785$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	0c	3,257$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	3,122$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.61	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f0…1d60backed Yes	1c	2,973$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	2,797$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	2,746$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.87	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	3c	2,656$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92f…5564backed Yes	1c	2,348$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	2,315$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.98	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	2,262$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.01	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	4c	2,229$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	9c	2,119$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.23	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fc…16b5backed Yes	1c	2,023$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	104	12.5%13 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	1,929$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.16	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…3e9fbacked Yes	2c	1,910$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	2c	1,836$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	1,793$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.52	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	2c	1,710$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,674$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	1,636$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.99	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	1,569$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x083f…5cebbacked Yes	2c	1,540$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…c134backed Yes	1c	1,511$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	1,504$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.49	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	1c	1,489$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	1,402$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	4c	1,390$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.81	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc146…223cbacked Yes	2c	1,201$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.93	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,194$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.13	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca5…e859backed Yes	3c	1,136$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	1,129$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	1,111$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.08	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,035$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Yes	3c	1,032$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e78…c340backed Yes	9c	1,005$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.8	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	2c	1,004$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.93	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…af19backed Yes	1c	999$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568e…5b8cbacked Yes	7c	993.7$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	7c	993.49$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	991.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	2c	947.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	2c	892.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	8c	891.78$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.34	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	12c	783.23$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.16	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	7c	709.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.67	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	6c	697.4$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.84	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…94c9backed Yes	7c	680.25$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.62	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	647.49$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.41	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	3c	592.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	4c	589.23$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.58	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe90…9590backed Yes	10c	588.98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.89	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…d4febacked Yes	8c	583.38$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.67	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	10c	573.15$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.07	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	8c	565.79$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes	6c	559.22$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	5c	548.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e27…ef09backed Yes	5c	523.72$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba7…8ca5backed Yes	6c	516.92$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	5c	513.9$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	7c	508.98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.82	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	8c	496.43$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.37	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	6c	482$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa5…e581backed Yes	9c	481.02$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.29	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes	10c	472.41$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf2…73adbacked Yes	10c	457.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc366…73cebacked Yes	5c	348.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…c05fbacked Yes	9c	330.61$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.3	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef8e…8faebacked Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5034…3f34backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event