Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf73a868afc312c7c0026f282dcec54eda73c5bef5b9f8cfc5af3b01fcf6bbc33

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $750,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $427,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd341…b73fbacked Yes	0c	48,884$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.06	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd551…d570backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	17,485$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	16,667$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.12	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	0c	13,086$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.26	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	12,839$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.68	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac11…1504backed Yes	0c	11,757$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	3c	10,709$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.22	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	0c	9,902$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc815…03c8backed Yes	1c	8,716$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	8,633$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.37	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	8,299$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	1c	7,232$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	2c	6,062$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.88	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	5,587$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.81	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	5,504$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	0c	5,400$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	4,750$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	3c	4,371$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.11	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	4,050$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.68	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	3,994$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.48	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	3,941$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.74	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	3,906$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.44	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	3,849$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.44	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	3,320$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.45	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	3,099$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	5c	3,091$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.15	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	2,979$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.02	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	2,920$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.85	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	5c	2,894$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.59	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes	3c	2,694$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	2c	2,619$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.09	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	7c	2,600$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.89	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	2,478$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.43	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	2,421$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.17	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	1c	2,411$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	2,394$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	2,310$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.51	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	4c	2,259$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	7c	2,205$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.97	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	3c	2,171$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.91	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	2,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	3c	1,973$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.47	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	7c	1,957$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.39	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	4c	1,955$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	8c	1,912$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.45	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	6c	1,772$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.72	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	7c	1,684$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.85	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	1,622$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.78	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	1,588$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.82	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	1,389$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.83	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	11c	1,204$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.7	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	1,195$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	9c	1,190$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.12	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	4c	1,175$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.54	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	6c	1,146$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	2c	1,100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	6c	1,044$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.16	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	6c	1,015$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.87	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	7c	1,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	997.89$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.07	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	4c	995.34$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	9c	977.4$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.93	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	8c	972.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.99	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	7c	960.29$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	954.1$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.15	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	920.16$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.63	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	5c	878.24$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	5c	873.1$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.92	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	8c	834.9$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.21	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	5c	759.52$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.19	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b83…be04backed Yes	5c	710.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	3c	703.93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	10c	694.12$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.52	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09a…4b2bbacked Yes	10c	689.4$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.53	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	680.65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…94c9backed Yes	7c	679.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb015…42c3backed Yes	3c	667$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	597.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.74	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d32…d12bbacked Yes	4c	591.27$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	3c	586.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d47…0ed2backed Yes	9c	560$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	10c	546.74$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	528.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	5c	496.37$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.53	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	6c	483.01$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.16	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…0ef8backed Yes	12c	448.06$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.73	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	6c	416.73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Yes	11c	396.35$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	7c	393.04$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf424…225cbacked Yes	6c	391.74$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	10c	387.76$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.51	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Yes	11c	387.63$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.1	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event