Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac7dd3920a21d4266a7ef9f378ed786d85c608c37f8a7ed435a0ca7d74f971d

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $755,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $400,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	38,526$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.85	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	23,662$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.23	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	15,389$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.04	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d7…e874backed Yes	0c	11,521$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	3c	11,380$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.43	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	11,251$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.83	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	11,084$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.75	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	11,050$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.52	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	10,839$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.13	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	10,301$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	9,562$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.35	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	9,407$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.13	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	12c	7,569$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.36	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	7,244$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.73	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	7,016$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.93	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	6,868$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.9	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	6,561$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.35	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	6,523$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.74	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	5,447$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	5c	5,272$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.59	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	5c	5,144$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.01	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5632…2151backed Yes	0c	5,076$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	1c	4,915$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.12	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…4503backed Yes	10c	4,810$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.37	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8bb…b898backed Yes	0c	4,728$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	4c	4,394$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.84	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	4,286$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.17	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	4,108$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.28	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	8c	3,596$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.27	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	3,595$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.97	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	3,195$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.52	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	4c	3,176$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.18	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	6c	3,051$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.55	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x572c…5ec5backed Yes	1c	2,981$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	2,934$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	2,845$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.78	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	2,711$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.07	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	2,671$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.32	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	5c	2,589$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.29	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	2,487$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.13	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	2c	2,405$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.51	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	2,360$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.61	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	1c	2,340$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e78backed Yes	13c	2,228$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.66	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	1c	2,223$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…ce58backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaace…943abacked Yes	2c	1,992$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	13c	1,961$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.13	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	8c	1,909$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.54	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	1,829$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.97	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	3c	1,822$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.77	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	6c	1,784$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.42	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…ce7fbacked Yes	7c	1,782$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+525%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes	5c	1,763$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.77	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	4c	1,707$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.24	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,588$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.65	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	2c	1,582$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd354…4d78backed Yes	5c	1,562$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.13	59	18.6%11 W · 48 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…22d6backed Yes	5c	1,496$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	2c	1,488$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.35	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	4c	1,472$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.78	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes	13c	1,463$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.49	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	1,434$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0472…fc04backed Yes	5c	1,416$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.59	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	13c	1,405$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.6	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	1c	1,400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	1,360$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	4c	1,317$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.73	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	1,307$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	2c	1,304$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.74	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,251$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	7c	1,250$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…dd2abacked Yes	1c	1,246$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd80…4f46backed Yes	3c	1,231$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	8c	1,212$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.92	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe976…97c0backed Yes	1c	1,181$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	8c	1,144$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.74	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	12c	1,140$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc20…06f9backed Yes	2c	1,119$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	1,112$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.39	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…c134backed Yes	5c	1,075$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.63	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	4c	1,017$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	4c	1,007$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.22	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	4c	1,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f65…70b9backed Yes	16c	993.41$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd5…cae2backed Yes	1c	970.71$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	969.04$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.96	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1c…3a01backed Yes	10c	962.78$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.28	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	4c	957.14$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.34	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	12c	955.83$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.69	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	9c	954.02$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.86	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	4c	946.25$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.96	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd551…d570backed Yes	3c	940.63$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	10c	917.02$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.4	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	5c	851.36$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.04	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event