Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796f9eda532cab588f5b42403d2f02e57b3bb79abb1bbc563fdda03b8a849a2d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $998,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $988,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $998,691 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 946 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	30c	29,454$8,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,592.55	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	45c	28,100$12,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,660.44	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	76c	15,925$12,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,852.44	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	53c	15,362$8,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,164.96	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	20c	15,093$2,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,099.7	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	35c	14,887$5,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,676.36	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	79c	11,950$9,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,552.39	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	45c	10,669$4,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,848.33	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	38c	9,905$3,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,118.44	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	18c	9,881$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,139.34	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed No	0c	9,018$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed No	3c	8,627$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.38	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	53c	7,618$4,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,581.45	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	43c	6,977$3,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,975.77	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b73…c441backed Yes	78c	6,960$5,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.33	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	22c	6,825$1,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,341.98	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	18c	6,652$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,433.33	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fa…e495backed No	63c	6,255$3,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,940.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	37c	6,233$2,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,897.86	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	32c	5,886$1,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,011.04	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked No	34c	5,487$1,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,866.84	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	63c	5,480$3,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,028.65	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	44c	5,461$2,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060.88	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	36c	5,186$1,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,315.34	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed No	62c	5,122$3,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,187.99	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	24c	5,109$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,908.35	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf657…d8cebacked Yes	13c	4,934$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,302.84	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked No	10c	4,886$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.2	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	38c	4,530$1,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,707.38	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	48c	4,505$2,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.38	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f73…b6f9backed Yes	38c	4,334$1,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,672.77	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	24c	4,299$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,282.96	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	25c	4,201$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,166.18	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No	47c	3,916$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,828.38	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	18c	3,852$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.24	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	65c	3,663$2,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,390.53	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	27c	3,411$917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,493.75	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709d…5501backed Yes	64c	3,232$2,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,176.02	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	46c	3,180$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,451.73	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	3,121$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,640.78	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	38c	3,074$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,918.32	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked No	74c	3,050$2,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,248.48	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	20c	3,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked No	1c	3,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	39c	2,912$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.78	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	67c	2,894$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,952.83	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	16c	2,887$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,429.71	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	27c	2,752$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021.94	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	74c	2,717$2,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,005.27	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	20c	2,619$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,092.44	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	17c	2,562$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,131.91	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…cb18backed No	69c	2,476$1,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717.63	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	56c	2,429$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.29	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	34c	2,382$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.33	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked No	66c	2,381$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.09	4	75%3 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	29c	2,280$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.57	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	21c	2,260$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,778.73	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked No	71c	2,254$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.56	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	18c	2,225$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,814.54	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	36c	2,223$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,433.22	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes	41c	2,173$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.46	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	15c	2,163$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,828.8	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	22c	2,157$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.92	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	14c	2,125$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.32	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	15c	2,093$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.06	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	33c	2,093$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.22	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	41c	2,063$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.57	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	72c	2,008$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.46	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	48c	2,008$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,048.53	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	27c	2,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,459.99	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	31c	1,994$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.55	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	13c	1,979$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,722.08	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	61c	1,974$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.95	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	44c	1,927$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.13	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	14c	1,909$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,638.16	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…780bbacked No	75c	1,906$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.64	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	19c	1,887$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.1	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	25c	1,854$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,397.67	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	34c	1,825$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.36	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	26c	1,823$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,348.08	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	67c	1,810$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.83	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1907…8174backed Yes	20c	1,806$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,438.06	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	23c	1,797$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.5	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	33c	1,778$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.02	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	17c	1,685$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,395.29	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	20c	1,630$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,308.57	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	42c	1,613$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.54	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	27c	1,600$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…b575backed Yes	18c	1,597$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.67	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…b5a0backed Yes	67c	1,590$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.24	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	26c	1,519$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.67	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	16c	1,461$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.64	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes	68c	1,456$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.09	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce1…3c1abacked Yes	44c	1,454$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	13c	1,448$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.35	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	19c	1,442$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.43	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	4c	1,422$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.95	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5725…7571backed No	69c	1,413$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.54	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event