Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6451b1957d5a2917ff4e517e448d45c300322f8cc5cfa145f4c0b004a7584b

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $427,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $201,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,908 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	20,426$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	17,570$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	2c	11,318$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.77	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	8,998$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.85	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	0c	8,966$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	6,170$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.91	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	3c	5,607$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.5	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	4,492$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.89	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	4,306$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.09	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	3c	4,108$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.1	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	1c	4,096$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.72	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	5c	4,035$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.01	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	3,889$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	4c	3,743$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.76	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	3,672$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.89	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	2c	3,662$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes	2c	3,066$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	5c	2,965$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.03	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,891$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	3c	2,801$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.08	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	2,762$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.15	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	2c	2,688$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.65	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca5…e859backed Yes	2c	2,643$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.55	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	4c	2,634$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.36	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	2,486$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.87	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	2,218$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.24	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	3c	2,195$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.27	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	5c	2,033$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	2,000$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	2,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	1,937$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.69	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	1,877$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.3	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	3c	1,842$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.31	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	1,707$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.71	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7361…ff2fbacked Yes	1c	1,686$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	2c	1,683$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.92	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Yes	6c	1,639$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.12	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	9c	1,484$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.38	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,368$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,316$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.31	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	5c	1,290$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.46	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	1,277$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.54	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,183$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	5c	1,087$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.12	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	5c	1,027$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	6c	1,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	995.57$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.55	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b83…be04backed Yes	4c	995.45$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.22	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	4c	986.36$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	983$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.54	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	4c	940.48$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.92	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	5c	922.66$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.61	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	6c	880.92$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.81	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	4c	850$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc362…0f5ebacked Yes	4c	845.81$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	4c	822.58$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.11	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	3c	724.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	3c	713.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	3c	693.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	692.52$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x837a…77e1backed Yes	8c	669.08$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	600$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bb…0ef8backed Yes	10c	559.64$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	537.95$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	493.29$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	6c	478.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	4c	478.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.84	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	4c	460.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	6c	446.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	5c	429.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	4c	422.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	3c	388.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5129…40f3backed Yes	7c	376.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	7c	373.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.17	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…225cbacked Yes	5c	373.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	4c	365.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…c05fbacked Yes	4c	361.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a1…374fbacked Yes	4c	357.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	4c	356.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	6c	353.85$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes	9c	351.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…64b7backed Yes	8c	344.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…0c43backed Yes	6c	322.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb015…42c3backed Yes	6c	304.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	7c	299.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes	6c	285.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	193	17.6%34 W · 159 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc879…c986backed Yes	5c	265.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…46cebacked Yes	7c	263.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	6c	250$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336f…820abacked Yes	5c	247.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	6c	234.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+124%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e27…ef09backed Yes	6c	198.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event