TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26f0…1d60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5416.7%9 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.74
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.23
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$220.8
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$160.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.67
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.84
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+413%+$385.88
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+477.6%+$303.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.94
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$320.96
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.81
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.48
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$117.01
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$21.9
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ex-MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$51.69
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$44.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$59.4
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$484
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$308.7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.35
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.91
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.3
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+364.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+364.8%+$214.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$59.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.