CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8669d8201d25ac2506861a5bd3b98564114ade586320edd1a2f6a0b777436537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 62c | 12,689$7,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.1 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 63c | 5,525$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.38 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Phantom | 55c | 5,160$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.6 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Phantom | 39c | 4,318$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.06 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Ursa | 60c | 4,080$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.79 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 66c | 4,070$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.71 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Phantom | 37c | 3,969$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488 | 229 | 41.9%96 W · 133 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 66c | 3,957$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.19 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Ursa | 62c | 3,421$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Ursa | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Ursa | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…163cbacked Ursa | 1c | 2,822$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Ursa | 48c | 2,662$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.66 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Ursa | 1c | 2,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 39c | 2,433$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.47 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Phantom | 41c | 2,274$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.73 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Phantom | 39c | 2,245$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.47 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Ursa | 41c | 2,093$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Ursa | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 40c | 1,998$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.61 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Phantom | 40c | 1,995$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.19 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 57c | 1,989$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Phantom | 65c | 1,920$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.27 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 41c | 1,716$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.76 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ursa | 40c | 1,657$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.18 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Phantom | 58c | 1,621$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.74 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Ursa | 61c | 1,528$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.31 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Ursa | 60c | 1,498$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.94 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Phantom | 38c | 1,415$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed Phantom | 75c | 1,311$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Phantom | 39c | 1,297$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.02 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Phantom | 34c | 1,205$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.12 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Ursa | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Ursa | 61c | 1,090$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.61 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Ursa | 1c | 1,019$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Ursa | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Ursa | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Ursa | 61c | 979.87$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ursa | 61c | 974.29$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.84 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Ursa | 1c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 50c | 940.55$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 53c | 896.59$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.61 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Phantom | 41c | 882.26$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.53 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Ursa | 53c | 868.81$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.36 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 39c | 857.03$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.79 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Ursa | 25c | 848.35$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Ursa | 58c | 819.4$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Ursa | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Phantom | 38c | 756.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.78 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Phantom | 32c | 749.17$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.77 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ursa | 42c | 719.08$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Ursa | 44c | 658.85$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Phantom | 37c | 651.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.73 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Ursa | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 43c | 622.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed Ursa | 66c | 615.84$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.65 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Phantom | 55c | 600.64$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Phantom | 33c | 555.08$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.9 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Ursa | 42c | 555.07$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Phantom | 40c | 551.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.58 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Phantom | 68c | 535.11$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Phantom | 40c | 520.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.89 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Phantom | 39c | 513.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.23 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…7452backed Ursa | 59c | 495.81$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.46 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Phantom | 39c | 488.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 36c | 488.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ursa | 42c | 475.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Ursa | 62c | 474$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Phantom | 62c | 454.53$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Phantom | 41c | 427.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Phantom | 67c | 420.41$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phantom | 71c | 403.28$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ursa | 61c | 400.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Ursa | 44c | 395.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Ursa | 59c | 390.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.56 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Ursa | 7c | 390.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Phantom | 68c | 390$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Ursa | 38c | 377.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked Phantom | 36c | 368$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ursa | 25c | 355.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa | 29c | 354.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Phantom | 44c | 348.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Phantom | 57c | 347.4$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 493 | 42%207 W · 286 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Ursa | 56c | 347.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Phantom | 37c | 345.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Phantom | 71c | 337.97$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Ursa | 64c | 330.45$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Ursa | 60c | 326.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Ursa | 54c | 325.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Ursa | 30c | 314.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Ursa | 10c | 310$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed Phantom | 38c | 304.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Phantom | 37c | 302.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Ursa | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Phantom | 44c | 298.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Phantom | 67c | 297.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Phantom | 39c | 296.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Phantom | 57c | 293.34$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Phantom | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Ursa | 42c | 286.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.