TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$835,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$848,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Islanders53c375,388$197,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,362.5116442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Islanders53c80,000$42,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,399.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens47c53,387$25,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,294.3540351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Canadiens48c50,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,0002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Canadiens46c31,670$14,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,008.310146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders53c26,893$14,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,253.4267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Islanders5c25,782$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.3941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Canadiens48c25,095$12,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,087.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canadiens46c22,225$10,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,946.5747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Canadiens46c20,815$9,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,142.017659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens48c20,770$9,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,800.5318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Canadiens48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Islanders53c18,437$9,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,758.3751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Canadiens57c18,210$10,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,850.5827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Canadiens46c16,790$7,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,066.597737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens47c16,647$7,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,804.8561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens46c14,980$6,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,089.248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Canadiens48c14,425$6,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5013450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e96…1513backed Canadiens48c12,796$6,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,653.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Canadiens47c12,442$5,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,594.255259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens46c10,652$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,752.1759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Canadiens48c10,520$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,469.7837754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens48c10,445$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,431.3233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens46c10,110$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.42,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Canadiens48c10,099$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.452025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Canadiens48c9,326$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,849.5218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Canadiens46c9,271$4,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.2212047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Canadiens46c9,230$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,981.33240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6801,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Canadiens48c8,892$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.674551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Canadiens47c8,857$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.455230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Canadiens48c8,400$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3688854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3208845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Canadiens46c7,580$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.22035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5710…8028backed Canadiens48c7,029$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens48c6,918$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.292,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens72c6,906$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.5889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Canadiens48c6,260$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.423333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56cf…e292backed Canadiens47c6,041$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Canadiens48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12018344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens47c5,556$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.6833151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders53c5,441$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.411,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Canadiens47c5,429$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.885350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Canadiens48c5,311$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.4519759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Canadiens48c5,292$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.846456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Canadiens48c5,288$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.973852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Islanders54c5,191$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.9240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Islanders50c4,594$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Canadiens47c4,570$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.14055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens47c4,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,38543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens47c4,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.9927850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens47c4,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.9760249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Canadiens47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3222043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Canadiens47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3232151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Canadiens50c4,037$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.045660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Canadiens47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1209751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Canadiens48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0802441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x047f…6f34backed Canadiens48c3,904$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Canadiens48c3,779$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.019038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9161…3de7backed Canadiens48c3,766$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Islanders5c3,340$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6130259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders53c3,262$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Canadiens47c3,222$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.6611153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Canadiens48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens48c2,990$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.6354047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens48c2,777$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.5989249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Canadiens48c2,600$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.127557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Islanders28c2,587$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.910941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Canadiens48c2,520$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.1611243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens53c2,489$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Islanders54c2,486$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.2912654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Islanders6c2,465$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8329448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Islanders53c2,316$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.7324749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed Canadiens46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked Canadiens46c2,128$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Canadiens48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.1642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Canadiens48c2,020$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Canadiens47c2,015$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Canadiens70c2,005$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1813850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Islanders50c2,003$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.325447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdafd…5ffbbacked Islanders53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Islanders50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Canadiens49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9820450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e9…aba8backed Canadiens48c1,969$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Canadiens48c1,960$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked Canadiens48c1,942$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Canadiens49c1,923$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.6626750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Canadiens46c1,877$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.3120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Canadiens50c1,796$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.025749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed Canadiens48c1,518$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.361942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Canadiens50c1,509$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3819050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens47c1,505$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.4570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens47c1,500$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.0576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Canadiens48c1,495$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1410663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91cb…52e7backed Canadiens48c1,477$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x111f…9bebbacked Canadiens48c1,470$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9421…f6b0backed Canadiens48c1,425$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd86…b5dbbacked Canadiens48c1,416$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Islanders53c1,403$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.333548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8429…213bbacked Canadiens50c1,330$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.