Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaaabbdc0e13d5aba60183c46b8b62b9a81caf8f509f68be651fda2c9f955bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,088,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,088,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 2c | 65,788$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.91 | 136 | 16.2%22 W · 114 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 18,875$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.09 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 4c | 17,712$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.62 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 6c | 14,372$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.57 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 77c | 14,171$10,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.06 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 31c | 13,264$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.3 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 11,773$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 8c | 11,463$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.55 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 5c | 11,287$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.42 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,271$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.58 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 7c | 10,410$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.28 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff3…6f4fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,239$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed Yes | 3c | 10,114$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 13c | 9,500$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214 | 254 | 13.4%34 W · 220 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 4c | 9,349$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.73 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 1c | 9,104$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 12c | 8,839$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.78 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 2c | 8,440$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 11c | 7,462$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…25f7backed Yes | 8c | 7,291$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 4c | 7,210$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 22c | 6,900$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.18 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 9c | 6,388$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.63 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 1c | 6,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 2c | 6,018$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 10c | 5,889$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.19 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 7c | 5,840$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,511$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 31c | 5,375$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.91 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 303 | 10.9%33 W · 270 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 80c | 5,034$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.21 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,020$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 558 | 8.2%46 W · 512 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 17c | 4,626$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.54 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 69c | 4,477$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.25 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 6c | 4,213$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 178 | 24.7%44 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,199$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…acf2backed Yes | 8c | 4,179$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 19c | 4,134$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.62 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 5c | 4,105$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 13c | 4,066$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.8 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,939$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.12 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,843$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 2c | 3,754$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…6f61backed Yes | 19c | 3,673$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 7c | 3,653$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,642$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,505$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.67 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 3,497$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…563ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,401$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.75 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,263$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 35c | 3,139$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.32 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…f567backed Yes | 1c | 3,124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 4c | 3,115$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 413 | 10.7%44 W · 369 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…a338backed Yes | 1c | 3,107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 364 | 4.7%17 W · 347 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…12b7backed No | 72c | 3,061$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…f6b1backed Yes | 0c | 3,051$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 17c | 3,023$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…a422backed Yes | 2c | 2,890$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 168 | 14.9%25 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,886$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,806$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 25c | 2,673$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.75 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes | 9c | 2,660$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.93 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 12c | 2,652$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 27c | 2,549$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.36 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,526$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 342 | 3.5%12 W · 330 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,499$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.63 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed Yes | 3c | 2,445$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 1c | 2,440$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 882 | 10.3%91 W · 791 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…2065backed Yes | 3c | 2,415$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,359$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 826 | 14.9%123 W · 703 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes | 14c | 2,275$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 14c | 2,169$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.82 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,166$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7e5abacked Yes | 2c | 2,160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 291 | 13.1%38 W · 253 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4e…a12fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,036$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 75c | 2,022$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 19c | 1,995$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.48 | 212 | 15.1%32 W · 180 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,968$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.01 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,940$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes | 2c | 1,881$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 5c | 1,851$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…6e25backed No | 71c | 1,809$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…8b21backed Yes | 9c | 1,798$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 218 | 16.1%35 W · 183 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…e4a2backed Yes | 5c | 1,795$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…960dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,791$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 11c | 1,783$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…559ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,760$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,756$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 75c | 1,739$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…0111backed Yes | 6c | 1,637$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes | 4c | 1,597$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…a960backed Yes | 2c | 1,583$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…3ce3backed Yes | 33c | 1,554$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.3 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…6144backed Yes | 29c | 1,467$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 1c | 1,467$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.