Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7edf95bf27a464dd6126e977eaffccb1afacdc0e4f9506cc97b1d6d28c7bc6f

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $781,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $757,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8575…87febacked No	29c	14,442$4,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,255.29	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	36c	12,531$4,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,451.62	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	12c	12,396$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.43	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	72c	11,715$8,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,309.55	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	32c	11,502$3,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,725.5	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	23c	9,062$2,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,994.48	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…25f7backed Yes	14c	8,309$1,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,126.59	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	7c	8,272$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,709.34	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	7,563$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,514.79	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee97…376ebacked Yes	80c	7,474$5,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.99	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+39%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	50c	6,513$3,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,234.22	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	2c	6,238$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x404d…b129backed Yes	40c	5,963$2,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,592.46	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	3c	5,895$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.57	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No	40c	5,103$2,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,062.15	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	29c	5,058$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,604.33	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	26c	4,931$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,662.69	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	77c	4,900$3,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,751.19	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	18c	4,259$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,480.54	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf48…136dbacked Yes	78c	4,163$3,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.17	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	54c	4,152$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,901.95	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	4,001$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,045.4	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	30c	3,994$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,775.87	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed No	77c	3,832$2,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,967.37	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	9c	3,811$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,471.17	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	3,757$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575.77	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	36c	3,702$1,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,380.79	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed No	12c	3,624$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	51c	3,383$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,662.38	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	75c	3,131$2,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,353.52	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	46c	3,109$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.56	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	46c	3,102$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,674.03	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	24c	3,096$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.44	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	22c	3,003$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,332.99	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	3,000$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.32	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	2,942$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,863.99	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	79c	2,876$2,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.27	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	49c	2,752$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,395.41	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	56c	2,685$1,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.81	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e65…f33dbacked No	1c	2,679$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	2,630$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,538.16	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	28c	2,622$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.38	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca68…9c6cbacked Yes	80c	2,562$2,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed No	6c	2,500$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes	55c	2,383$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.94	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	22c	2,374$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,862.7	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	35c	2,332$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.26	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	16c	2,311$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.41	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	4c	2,304$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,219.56	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	8c	2,300$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,121.35	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	22c	2,230$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,742.3	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	41c	2,221$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.92	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9840…2065backed Yes	10c	2,219$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,997.93	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	25c	2,166$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.68	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed No	0c	2,156$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	2cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	39c	2,142$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.83	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+22.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	24c	2,116$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.49	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	11c	2,106$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,865.81	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed No	24c	2,033$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.78	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed No	1c	2,026$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	7c	1,895$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.8	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	12c	1,871$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,649.08	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	60c	1,783$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.81	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7368…fd66backed No	48c	1,775$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.87	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked No	28c	1,759$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d8…9e28backed Yes	35c	1,710$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110.29	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a86…9679backed Yes	44c	1,660$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.23	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	53c	1,651$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.69	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked No	56c	1,650$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.5	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	63c	1,615$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.05	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	59c	1,505$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.95	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	8c	1,500$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.99	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6866…b8f4backed Yes	6c	1,475$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.06	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	22cpaid	+224.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	12c	1,475$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.38	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	48c	1,454$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.22	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x074b…ffc9backed No	78c	1,450$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.9	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	29c	1,424$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.59	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…bc09backed Yes	76c	1,389$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.5	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	14c	1,362$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.84	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	10c	1,330$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.74	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…af19backed Yes	4c	1,323$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.91	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	72c	1,315$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.6	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	43c	1,305$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.47	148	64.9%96 W · 52 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	22c	1,302$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.28	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	47c	1,274$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.13	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	5c	1,249$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,184.74	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb603…58febacked Yes	31c	1,241$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.54	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	12c	1,213$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.82	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Yes	75c	1,211$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.21	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	68c	1,189$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.28	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	65c	1,178$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.3	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff3…6f4fbacked Yes	31c	1,161$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.51	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f13…1631backed Yes	40c	1,147$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.32	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4e…a12fbacked Yes	30c	1,147$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.22	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-36%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	5c	1,144$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,084.55	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e0…44e0backed Yes	28c	1,135$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.15	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Yes	50c	1,106$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.78	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6aa…132abacked No	1c	1,100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+57%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8fb…af41backed Yes	46c	1,092$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.56	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	37c	1,077$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.63	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event