Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4cb14071d99ab3daeef554d9c2f4534c90c5be28ecf21917fa5854beb7aea0b

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $322,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $138,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4449…e977backed Yes	0c	15,153$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	10,100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	5c	9,263$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.45	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	8,164$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	6,958$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	7c	5,519$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.55	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	2c	5,073$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.96	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	4c	5,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	9c	4,647$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.32	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	4,305$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	3,871$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.03	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,934$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	2,788$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.71	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d27…94c9backed Yes	6c	2,461$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.66	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	7c	2,386$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.4	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	1c	2,210$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	7c	2,133$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.18	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	1c	1,735$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	8c	1,554$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.34	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	10c	1,540$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.95	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	6c	1,528$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.03	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	4c	1,405$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.29	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc8…4676backed Yes	10c	1,333$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.97	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	1,293$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.74	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	1,260$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	1c	1,210$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,164$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	2c	1,124$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.79	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	1,094$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.22	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	7c	1,065$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.79	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	980.75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	921.94$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.83	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	921.71$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.05	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc267…850fbacked Yes	6c	918.15$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.37	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	880.35$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	859.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.18	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	6c	822.19$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	780.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.34	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	7c	771.17$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.42	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…5051backed Yes	7c	645.21$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	4c	623.01$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.39	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	5c	605.34$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	584.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	573.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes	3c	525.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+344.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	6c	509.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	9c	486.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.47	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	9c	482.37$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.44	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	4c	474.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	7c	469.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	7c	469.92$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	469.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.38	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	7c	462.83$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	425.47$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	6c	422.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	5c	408.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac3e…e416backed Yes	8c	402.84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.79	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57dc…414bbacked Yes	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	10c	400$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0088…ba88backed Yes	7c	392.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…2b92backed Yes	6c	379.19$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+131.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	3c	378.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	375.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c06…fbadbacked Yes	6c	354.17$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	6c	343.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	9c	341.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.14	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	8c	311.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	5c	311.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef6c…33efbacked Yes	9c	299.1$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6358…23f1backed Yes	10c	294.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdc…2e26backed Yes	5c	284.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3c…b892backed Yes	5c	252.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	8c	249$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…5199backed Yes	4c	246.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	55	9.1%5 W · 50 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	7c	200.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	6c	199.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	8c	199.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4c…4277backed Yes	5c	196.08$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	5c	196.08$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3a…b7febacked Yes	9c	194.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.47	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77b9…0d39backed Yes	6c	181.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	108	20.4%22 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	6c	181.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	9c	169.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	162.65$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	8c	152.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4577…1b15backed Yes	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	13c	135.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event