Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21432981a418c8b9f5693f48894f811d73a02168e03d5b8dcd9da6bad094c7b9

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $720,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $519,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,278 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	0c	31,144$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.92	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…25f7backed Yes	15c	10,855$1,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,581.77	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	10c	10,066$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.6	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	17c	9,095$1,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,587.37	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	17c	7,107$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.65	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd576…cb24backed Yes	39c	6,700$2,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,612.98	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	17c	6,560$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	15c	6,319$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.33	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	12c	5,923$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.89	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	12c	5,784$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.84	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	5,562$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.38	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	5,255$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.12	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	22c	5,119$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.62	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	2c	5,050$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.35	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	5,044$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.67	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	20c	4,970$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996.09	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	18c	4,361$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.98	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	20c	4,350$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.1	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa757…2438backed Yes	0c	4,167$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	20	10%2 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	13c	4,135$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.9	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	38c	4,033$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,547.01	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	6c	3,995$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.5	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	25c	3,976$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.62	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	3,951$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.51	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	17c	3,793$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.73	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	3,769$2,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.9	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	15c	3,668$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.94	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e65…f33dbacked Yes	3c	3,659$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	17c	3,617$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	17c	3,600$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.95	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	19c	3,536$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.63	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	15c	3,521$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.36	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	21c	3,381$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.11	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Yes	25c	3,259$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	14c	3,221$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	22c	3,169$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.47	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	17c	3,034$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.95	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	4c	3,000$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed No	80c	2,868$2,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.53	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	16c	2,778$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.48	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	7c	2,670$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.56	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	14c	2,663$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.16	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	27c	2,656$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.3	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	17c	2,652$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.86	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9840…2065backed No	76c	2,622$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.57	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	12c	2,519$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	2,500$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes	13c	2,479$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.58	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	16c	2,419$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.63	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a79…e2afbacked Yes	26c	2,400$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	2,385$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.35	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	75c	2,295$1,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.78	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	16c	2,200$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.55	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	13c	2,164$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.63	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	71c	2,067$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.1	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	19c	2,063$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.03	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d5…559ebacked Yes	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b19…ca35backed Yes	12c	1,996$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.9	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	17c	1,986$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.01	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	9c	1,917$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.71	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	19c	1,903$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	1,900$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	13c	1,880$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.92	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	12c	1,818$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.54	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	16c	1,771$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.39	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	16c	1,754$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.33	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	11c	1,743$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	14c	1,739$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.1	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	13c	1,668$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.08	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	1,661$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	9c	1,654$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.69	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1922…3dabbacked Yes	15c	1,636$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.81	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	28c	1,600$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.11	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb603…58febacked Yes	22c	1,581$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.71	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes	27c	1,536$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.73	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	28c	1,521$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.99	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	20c	1,485$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.37	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d8…9e28backed Yes	29c	1,447$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.68	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	28c	1,444$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.81	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a86…9679backed Yes	21c	1,425$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.11	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes	10c	1,423$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.24	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e0…44e0backed Yes	28c	1,399$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.58	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	10c	1,388$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.53	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	28c	1,352$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.68	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	42c	1,333$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	22c	1,326$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	28c	1,293$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.21	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	7c	1,267$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.88	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	9c	1,261$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.09	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	25c	1,172$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.43	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ef…5eb0backed Yes	16c	1,140$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.55	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	15c	1,128$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.84	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked Yes	4c	1,100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	24c	1,050$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.21	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fb…af41backed Yes	24c	1,046$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event