Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f56d1c88c1088e946e38669a19cf063710bb07b14555315c9f8f439bebd54e

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $747,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $590,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,476 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	57,862$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.49	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	35,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	1c	25,402$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.95	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	23,967$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.17	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	18,395$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.45	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	11,740$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.91	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	9,035$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.14	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	8,126$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.38	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	7,761$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.92	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	7,487$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.25	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	2c	6,700$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.1	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	26c	6,294$1,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.62	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…25f7backed Yes	17c	5,887$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.01	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	12c	5,815$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.09	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,031$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.99	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	5c	5,013$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.21	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	5,000$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.5	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	1c	4,967$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.53	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	22c	4,164$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.15	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	19c	4,109$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.51	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Yes	15c	4,037$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	4,000$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.26	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	3,822$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	4c	3,632$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.54	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	19c	3,439$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.94	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	4c	3,233$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.35	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	80c	3,170$2,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.27	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	4c	3,148$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.17	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	76c	3,008$2,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.48	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	3c	3,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	3c	3,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.2	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed No	71c	2,945$2,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.35	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	3c	2,900$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.26	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa13f…1e76backed Yes	23c	2,637$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.61	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	4c	2,601$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.55	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	25c	2,600$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.26	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	2,506$1,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.86	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	23c	2,500$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5545…3059backed Yes	2c	2,299$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.39	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	20c	2,145$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.73	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes	13c	2,133$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.17	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	2,130$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	17c	2,084$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.57	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	12c	2,063$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.15	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	13c	2,053$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.03	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	2,046$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	21c	2,011$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.11	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	74c	2,000$1,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.98	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	15c	2,000$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.01	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked No	75c	1,995$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.47	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	2c	1,800$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4eb…e98dbacked Yes	17c	1,800$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	3c	1,678$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fca…f1f0backed Yes	17c	1,629$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	26c	1,590$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.92	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	1,502$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.12	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	13c	1,500$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	24c	1,400$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	1,400$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.4	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	21c	1,394$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.95	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	2c	1,364$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	2c	1,363$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.01	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed No	77c	1,363$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.54	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	15c	1,355$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.72	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	1c	1,354$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Yes	26c	1,338$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.16	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	31c	1,307$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	2c	1,300$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed Yes	23c	1,300$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	25c	1,284$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.73	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	1,260$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	8c	1,249$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	32c	1,239$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	1,234$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.07	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	29c	1,230$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.4	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes	1c	1,230$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	78	9%7 W · 71 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0431…fcb4backed Yes	2c	1,150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	27c	1,120$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.6	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	10c	1,117$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.33	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	21c	1,105$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.14	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9840…2065backed No	78c	1,028$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.78	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	9c	1,020$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	26c	1,010$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.8	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	19c	1,010$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.9	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	78c	1,005$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.69	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	2c	1,004$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	3c	1,000$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	22c	984$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.24	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	23c	957.93$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.76	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	29c	946.76$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	20c	944.45$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.98	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	15c	923.62$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.03	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	27c	921.95$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.15	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event