Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1a5ce360f72c05609d1d13d89edc8c214dd8a496c28e65427099e70d2bf05e0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $440,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $240,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,957 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	35,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	25,832$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.05	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	21,696$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.09	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	16,717$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	12,010$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	10,901$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.37	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	10,120$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.57	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	6,804$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	16c	4,984$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.08	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	4,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	16c	3,249$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.06	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	1c	3,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.41	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,965$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	6c	2,840$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.01	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	2,772$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.77	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	8c	2,327$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.29	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	2,237$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	9c	2,190$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.7	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	13c	2,152$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.98	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	2,135$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	6c	2,033$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.09	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	2,023$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.94	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	3c	1,991$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.61	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	13c	1,937$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.76	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	1c	1,879$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	8c	1,848$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.37	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	1,828$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	1,600$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.1	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5f…b5bdbacked Yes	5c	1,501$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.7	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	8c	1,453$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.35	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	7c	1,239$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.99	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	14c	1,231$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.28	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	9c	1,230$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.68	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	10c	1,207$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.35	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,190$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	9c	1,147$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.66	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	1,110$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.72	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	8c	1,087$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.79	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3783…fba3backed Yes	16c	1,078$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.45	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	7c	1,051$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.84	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,019$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.77	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	19c	1,007$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.47	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	993.9$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.44	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1a…117abacked Yes	19c	927.35$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.2	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+134.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	820.36$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.66	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fca…f1f0backed Yes	4c	691.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	11c	671.3$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.19	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	17c	658.75$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	3c	600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1907…8174backed Yes	14c	579.96$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.2	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4fe9…25f7backed Yes	15c	533.91$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.39	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Yes	4c	516$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	3c	515.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2311…99ecbacked Yes	19c	504.25$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.28	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3a…b7febacked Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x083b…3decbacked Yes	12c	495.12$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.88	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-91.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	9c	473.21$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.98	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	12c	468.54$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	11c	466.22$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.87	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes	16c	458$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.28	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	19c	442.31$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.68	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	3c	435.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	12c	421.52$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.18	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	16c	410.93$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.67	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Yes	12c	398.86$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.62	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f61…2680backed Yes	17c	393.49$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.81	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	18c	388.81$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.47	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	11c	382.21$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.04	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	4c	360$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	15c	359.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.6	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	13c	358.64$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6358…23f1backed Yes	14c	335.77$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.17	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	4c	299.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	16c	289.46$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.31	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34d…5461backed Yes	15c	288.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.31	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd20d…769abacked Yes	16c	286.25$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f0…1d60backed Yes	19c	275.74$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.74	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	270.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	11c	264.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…8046backed Yes	18c	253.31$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.91	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	15c	250$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	7c	244.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…3ec5backed Yes	17c	215.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.63	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	11c	207.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb2…317bbacked Yes	15c	205.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d7…df89backed Yes	11c	204.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	203.18$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	12c	200.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.71	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event