Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6df75f6e96963426ffbe158e24b388aca7ee160826d6bcdb9cb071a290dad706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,850,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,137,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,850,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 0c | 190,553$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…6ec5backed Yes | 0c | 108,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…a63bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…398bbacked Yes | 0c | 41,240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 1c | 40,161$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,994$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 0c | 25,746$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 23,507$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 0c | 20,003$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 3.5%12 W · 330 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…4285backed Yes | 0c | 19,630$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 0c | 19,168$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 0c | 18,950$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…8b21backed Yes | 0c | 18,431$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 218 | 16.1%35 W · 183 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…fb85backed Yes | 0c | 18,076$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 1c | 18,004$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 17,498$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…c5a7backed Yes | 0c | 15,058$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 0c | 12,219$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…d8c3backed Yes | 0c | 11,393$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,265$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes | 0c | 10,844$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…81c8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…7e08backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 9.3%13 W · 127 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +642.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 9,466$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 0c | 9,439$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 95 | 11.6%11 W · 84 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…43debacked Yes | 0c | 8,574$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…dd07backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…f7a9backed Yes | 0c | 7,425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 7,325$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…acf2backed Yes | 0c | 7,255$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…70c3backed Yes | 0c | 7,087$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…5051backed Yes | 0c | 6,834$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 1c | 6,450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…132abacked Yes | 0c | 6,131$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…8756backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…8d48backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…fae8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,984$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6939…e475backed Yes | 0c | 4,888$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 1c | 4,871$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…9e72backed Yes | 0c | 4,757$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…17ebbacked Yes | 0c | 4,702$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…3978backed Yes | 1c | 4,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 1c | 4,015$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…d31ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,443$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…d878backed Yes | 0c | 3,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 2c | 3,371$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 0c | 3,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,172$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 184 | 12%22 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 1c | 3,004$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…2a8bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,895$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 1c | 2,518$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 209 | 24.9%52 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 1c | 2,517$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 1c | 2,465$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 1c | 2,278$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 143 | 8.4%12 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,979$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 1c | 1,858$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,853$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,701$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…a960backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 1c | 1,632$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,257$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…6146backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +318.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…2065backed Yes | 1c | 1,171$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…5ebabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0088…ba88backed Yes | 2c | 802.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 1c | 775.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 301 | 10.3%31 W · 270 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 2c | 634.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes | 2c | 484.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…0565backed Yes | 3c | 452.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…992fbacked Yes | 3c | 423.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.