TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eb4…0872

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT6729.9%20 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.88
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$368.7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.82
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.64
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,230.25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.81
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$1,829.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.64
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.9
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$423
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.55
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$1,111.67
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$40.44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$826.99
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$48.2
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$67.99
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.85
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$163.88
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$158.44
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.28
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.94
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.5%+$64.4
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$135.56
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+54.4%+$294.9
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.77
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.5%+$51.37
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$39.2
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.4%+$116.34
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$108
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.6
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.3%+$9.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$27.3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$14.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$54.4
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$162.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$106.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$18.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.