Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ddc2abbcd750ec3b0df921f13f5e04ed9ca1d61c4243f0f94aa2c08989a67a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 35,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 68c | 14,472$9,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 4,259$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.46 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 2,291$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 1,965$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.18 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 11c | 1,563$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 69c | 1,160$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…959cbacked No | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…a4d3backed No | 33c | 1,082$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…16b1backed No | 33c | 859$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…771dbacked No | 33c | 816$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…36c4backed Yes | 63c | 809.52$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…d7a1backed No | 33c | 767$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 33c | 747.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…6c06backed No | 33c | 701$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…fb58backed No | 33c | 693$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…4511backed Yes | 67c | 689$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 664.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.09 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 62c | 650$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…928cbacked Yes | 67c | 650$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 24c | 648.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes | 69c | 630.43$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…45a4backed No | 33c | 603$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…0fc3backed Yes | 67c | 603$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d8b8backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…4c5dbacked No | 33c | 587$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…5199backed No | 33c | 580$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…5f1bbacked No | 33c | 555$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…0c97backed Yes | 67c | 525$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…bfa5backed No | 33c | 513$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…6e3abacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 68c | 467.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…4eb8backed Yes | 67c | 432$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…e5e6backed No | 33c | 416$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 32c | 409.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…5f66backed Yes | 67c | 406$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…f3e3backed Yes | 67c | 405$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…03c1backed Yes | 67c | 398$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed Yes | 69c | 384.43$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…c340backed Yes | 67c | 369$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…bf11backed Yes | 67c | 349$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…412ebacked Yes | 67c | 310$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…0784backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…19c4backed Yes | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…5237backed Yes | 67c | 295$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 34c | 294.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…110cbacked Yes | 67c | 291$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…c8dabacked Yes | 67c | 288$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…78abbacked Yes | 67c | 288$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 68c | 285.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked Yes | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked Yes | 67c | 273$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…72f1backed Yes | 67c | 270$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 44c | 268.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…8ff9backed Yes | 67c | 256$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…177bbacked Yes | 67c | 254$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 233.07$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 230.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…c21cbacked No | 30c | 222.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes | 70c | 197.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…2941backed Yes | 68c | 174.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…6884backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…c3e0backed No | 33c | 151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…18afbacked Yes | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…58c5backed Yes | 67c | 143$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…2be0backed Yes | 71c | 140.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 9c | 135$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 25c | 128.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 66c | 124.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…d7cfbacked Yes | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Yes | 66c | 110.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 67c | 109.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 25c | 107.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…a8cebacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…24dcbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 28c | 89.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Yes | 68c | 85.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 24c | 84.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…b919backed Yes | 72c | 84.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…a510backed No | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 30c | 65.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 43c | 58.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 32c | 55.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 30c | 55.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…0872backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.