TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcce0…5fca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$54.57
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+65%+$8.72
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.7%+$151.18
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.34
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.02
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+95.3%+$354.12
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$26.24
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.34
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+70.3%+$139.29
Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29.06
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+300%+$30
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.97
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.93
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.1
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.82
US Cremonese vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$195.59
SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+95.6%+$24.23
SSC Napoli vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$32.28
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$199.24
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$44.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.05
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38.14
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$47.23
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$35.86
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$15.14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$197.19
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+124.2%+$50.58
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.8%+$52.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+89.2%+$26.97
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$29.67
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+77.9%+$16.82
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$423.63
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$71.49
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.5
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$262.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.