Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c3bcfeed7368319b9b2025ae20e582c57516f73f800a12f265904bd02e656c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 3, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	73c	27,165$19,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,203.08	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	24c	24,949$6,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,101.15	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	52c	8,026$4,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,870.17	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	24c	6,874$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,644.84	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	67c	3,461$2,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,156.38	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	70c	3,050$2,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.33	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb17f…8a09backed Over	39c	2,002$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over	62c	1,729$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.97	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over	60c	1,200$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	30c	1,148$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.96	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Over	2c	974.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over	61c	900$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed Over	22c	893.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.97	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	62c	806.45$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	60c	750$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	38c	616.5$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.11	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	70c	575.19$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.08	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	32c	490.56$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.84	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	61c	459.29$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under	62c	423.98$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.11	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Under	66c	333.33$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.33	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over	40c	318$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under	70c	313.76$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.44	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6591…ae39backed Under	65c	307.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…f67ebacked Over	60c	300$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Under	78c	277.61$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.07	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over	49c	250$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	60c	198$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.8	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under	70c	184.42$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.11	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	62c	171$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.02	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	60c	158.75$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.14	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over	59c	150$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	186	46.8%87 W · 99 L	+11.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Over	60c	150$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	35c	137.27$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa52…85b7backed Over	60c	136$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	40c	128.05$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.45	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over	60c	115$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	68cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Under	63c	114.77$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.84	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over	59c	102.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.19	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…6953backed Under	62c	101.85$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	61c	101$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.61	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	62c	100.16$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59d…dad4backed Over	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	40c	99.99$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Over	61c	98.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+7.1wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	62c	96.77$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	62c	88.71$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2929…1ab2backed Over	61c	83$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	26c	75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	41c	54.8$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.38	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under	76c	53.21$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.82	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Under	69c	52.69$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Over	62c	50.82$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-7.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Under	41c	49.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.05	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f8…c2fcbacked Over	62c	48.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	41c	47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc20…f00dbacked Under	42c	45$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.05	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+137.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over	61c	40.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under	58c	40.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf581…0892backed Over	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Over	44c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3051…2d16backed Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecd8…c2e3backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	60c	35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcce0…5fcabacked Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece8…4edbbacked Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcca…da80backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	60.9%67 W · 43 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over	61c	29.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa709…4d86backed Over	59c	25.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event