Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6cade77d4d2720c8239ed0ee664d1656250f374944c055342383b2a911c6db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 13c | 9,094$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.42 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 71c | 5,188$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.54 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 39c | 4,345$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Over | 7c | 2,495$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 1,821$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 38c | 1,621$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 61c | 905.74$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 62c | 136.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 37c | 108.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…6f62backed Under | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 16c | 86.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed Under | 63c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Over | 37c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 38c | 47.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 38c | 39.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 62c | 36.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Under | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Under | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 62c | 28.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.