Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75157b3453e6b1694ea0bdb7e3f940892dc5e295eb18227a0383c3948ac4574b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 9,139$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 42c | 2,415$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.59 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 41c | 1,159$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.87 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 52c | 972.44$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 919$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.5 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Under | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 35c | 889.34$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.07 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…9abfbacked Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 771.97$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 616.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 48c | 542$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 41c | 430.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 423.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 42c | 312.93$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 35c | 288.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…efdabacked Over | 64c | 219.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Under | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 29c | 143.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 142.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 17c | 131.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 128.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 38c | 116.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 29c | 99.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 59c | 85.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 55c | 77.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Over | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 38c | 67.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 55c | 54.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 43c | 48.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 52c | 48.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…f00dbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…25eebacked Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Over | 59c | 34.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…16d8backed Over | 39c | 32.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 32c | 32.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 62c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Over | 52c | 28.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 60c | 24.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Over | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Over | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.