TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunderland AFCof Liverpool, Sunderland AFC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Sunderland AFC52c92,914$48,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,640.121853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Liverpool48c31,846$15,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,286.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Liverpool48c28,530$13,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,674.42552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC63c26,052$16,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,727.266,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Liverpool44c22,803$9,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,958.575324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e04…0336backed Liverpool48c18,542$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool9c14,396$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.054,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Liverpool38c11,855$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.912,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Liverpool26c7,439$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.91,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Liverpool48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Sunderland AFC53c5,796$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.0615049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Sunderland AFC53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Liverpool49c4,084$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.981947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Liverpool48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sunderland AFC53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.987357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…6275backed Liverpool48c3,130$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Sunderland AFC53c2,613$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.26046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Liverpool47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Liverpool48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Sunderland AFC54c1,670$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.982846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Liverpool47c1,435$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.331827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Sunderland AFC52c1,412$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.098842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Liverpool49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Liverpool39c1,017$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6320239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Sunderland AFC52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Sunderland AFC52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Liverpool47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Liverpool48c958.33$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Sunderland AFC54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9310768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Liverpool34c817.1$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.899733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sunderland AFC52c762.15$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.831,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Liverpool48c509$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.221,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Liverpool41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Liverpool11c499.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6113249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Liverpool48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Liverpool48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Liverpool48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18023741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Sunderland AFC54c333$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.185352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sunderland AFC55c288.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.982,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Liverpool17c233.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.723333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Liverpool48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Liverpool48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Sunderland AFC54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9216160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Liverpool43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Liverpool47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Liverpool11c194$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3410044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Liverpool47c177.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5340150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Liverpool26c155.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f9…0732backed Sunderland AFC54c150.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Liverpool47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed Sunderland AFC54c128.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Sunderland AFC54c122.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.282236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Liverpool47c118.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7937036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Sunderland AFC52c115$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Liverpool50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sunderland AFC51c109.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7121656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Sunderland AFC54c107.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.414047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Sunderland AFC53c106.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9516558.8%97 W · 68 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Liverpool48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Liverpool48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Liverpool48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Liverpool47c103.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf581…0892backed Liverpool48c103.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Liverpool49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509436.2%34 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Sunderland AFC55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4521965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Liverpool48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485038%19 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Sunderland AFC52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Liverpool47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Liverpool47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8e…9c43backed Sunderland AFC53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Liverpool47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Sunderland AFC53c94.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.351963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Sunderland AFC58c92.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Sunderland AFC54c89.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sunderland AFC52c86.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d5…1306backed Liverpool49c77.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Liverpool20c74.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2512646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Liverpool47c58.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.161,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f43…1754backed Sunderland AFC52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-51.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Sunderland AFC52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3637554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0298…11ccbacked Liverpool49c56.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bd…f1c6backed Liverpool49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Liverpool49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Sunderland AFC64c49.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7725949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Liverpool46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7820556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Liverpool47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7425858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece8…4edbbacked Liverpool48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Sunderland AFC52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…c1dfbacked Sunderland AFC52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Sunderland AFC52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4628950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…5499backed Sunderland AFC54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Sunderland AFC74c35.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.183345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Sunderland AFC58c34.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.614250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Liverpool47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Liverpool49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Liverpool47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe071…d24cbacked Sunderland AFC68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414850%24 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Sunderland AFC53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.39045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Sunderland AFC54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ea…d81abacked Sunderland AFC60c26.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.