TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd01f…5499

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT5427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.9
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.07
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.89
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$62.39
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$212.78
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.38
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.64
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.8%+$71.22
Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+67.3%+$53.83
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+115.9%+$140.59
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.1%+$97.49
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$146.33
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6.5m and 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$129.84
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.23
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.28
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30.27
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.91
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.21
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.87
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.42
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+440.5%+$387.74
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+170.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+270.4%+$27.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+316.7%+$31.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.