TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,962,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,986,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,962,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e7f…887bbacked No11c110,127$11,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,607.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe26…2d95backed No8c77,378$6,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,088.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2219…313fbacked No9c60,569$5,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,481.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa099…b806backed No9c28,439$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e57…b75ebacked No9c26,270$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2e…edd3backed No8c26,159$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…e66abacked No9c22,786$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…6ff2backed No20c22,720$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,54410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1a…9983backed No9c21,319$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c82…12aabacked No10c20,761$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.2250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb8…d5a8backed No9c19,056$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…90cebacked No10c16,749$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc0…da46backed No12c13,734$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01a…35d3backed No11c13,727$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4e…db99backed No11c12,182$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb0b…dffcbacked No10c11,577$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked No9c10,773$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…5ce9backed No10c10,539$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43a…2f3cbacked No11c10,498$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f00…10efbacked No9c10,001$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5cb…bf58backed No11c9,023$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8537…5dc1backed No9c8,990$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b2…abe1backed No7c8,657$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…3a98backed No7c8,657$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fa…3358backed No9c8,257$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked No9c8,200$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9910037%37 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80fd…fa76backed No15c7,824$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No7c7,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9914947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed No9c7,494$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9d08backed No10c7,490$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…9e8bbacked No9c6,922$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc9…c388backed No8c6,855$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63d…d073backed No8c6,675$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…4ce3backed No10c6,601$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No14c6,410$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.384139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x273e…241ebacked No9c6,234$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9207…7dc2backed Yes80c6,212$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9670…3149backed No11c6,164$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d2…fb31backed Yes80c6,137$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked No18c5,846$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.2918214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee0…3e52backed No11c5,846$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0192…266fbacked No8c5,766$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No11c5,587$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9626052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x333f…130ebacked No8c5,330$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ed…610fbacked No4c5,222$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…d421backed Yes80c5,218$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea05…ee65backed No9c5,206$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49160%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e0…1acebacked No10c5,175$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a1…a7bdbacked Yes80c5,153$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…6934backed No17c5,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No17c4,955$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.758328.9%24 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c16…b36abacked No13c4,898$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd39a…6629backed No10c4,806$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No17c4,720$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fd…22e8backed No10c4,543$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No8c4,466$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.892344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c2…077bbacked No9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No12c4,400$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52718628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x950b…47e8backed No9c4,344$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…2d40backed No9c4,344$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x013b…63fdbacked No12c4,320$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328d…f7a9backed Yes79c4,292$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6b…9becbacked No13c4,127$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No12c4,085$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.0737117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked No14c4,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408932.6%29 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc428…ffe0backed No16c3,942$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked No13c3,931$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-73.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc5f…993bbacked No16c3,867$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c25…0ea7backed No12c3,830$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed No22c3,804$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9a…fd53backed No12c3,725$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48b…cd0fbacked No10c3,598$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfb…eea0backed No9c3,584$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ab…d2d4backed No14c3,566$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ce…1777backed No9c3,521$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked No8c3,350$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.075728.1%16 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c45…64c7backed No9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a2…a3e0backed No9c3,231$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No9c3,196$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.792117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No8c3,100$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263772.6%2 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No9c3,062$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.332543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked No9c3,042$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.76803.8%3 W · 77 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No8c3,011$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.961676.6%11 W · 156 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…0079backed No17c3,000$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.9850%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No9c2,958$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.351152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed No9c2,918$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.29806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0325…16e7backed No17c2,874$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.21435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick19cpaid+126%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeec3…e861backed No16c2,872$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec07…6ea0backed No9c2,867$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No13c2,807$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9632255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed No9c2,800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…8cb8backed No13c2,775$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa327…89cfbacked No9c2,711$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed No9c2,680$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316311.1%7 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f31…64edbacked No13c2,646$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0602…0666backed No11c2,636$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb84…335ebacked No8c2,633$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No2c2,601$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0116616.9%28 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…aeebbacked No12c2,571$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d94…e7f7backed No12c2,450$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.