TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c26,944$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.536883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes1c24,629$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1918214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e7f…887bbacked Yes1c11,554$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b4…0a52backed Yes0c10,600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273e…241ebacked Yes2c10,068$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes0c9,554$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22550%0 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes0c9,145$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-95.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c8,012$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.581,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes2c6,256$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.694922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f4c…063bbacked Yes1c6,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85af…9003backed Yes5c5,966$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…0079backed Yes4c5,226$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…bff2backed Yes2c5,094$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb078…450cbacked Yes0c4,589$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20f…5764backed Yes1c4,494$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902d…7991backed Yes3c4,376$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes3c4,059$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.964766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes4c3,719$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.567317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa4…ea64backed Yes6c3,447$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…70bfbacked Yes2c3,191$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c3,020$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.132344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes2c2,766$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.171152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc428…ffe0backed Yes2c2,629$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc687…0783backed Yes1c2,452$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0e…c35abacked Yes2c2,407$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863d…8399backed Yes6c2,404$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.631020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf772…dbf9backed Yes1c2,400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.121838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes2c2,287$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.772117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3b…e5aabacked Yes2c2,277$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913d…4ea8backed Yes2c2,274$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes2c2,263$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes2c2,260$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12803.8%3 W · 77 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa218…988cbacked Yes2c2,247$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e4…5fcbbacked Yes3c2,212$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x105c…a550backed Yes2c2,119$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27d…5b52backed Yes1c2,020$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4940…52efbacked Yes1c1,977$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.771414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes6c1,898$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4315026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1dd…376abacked Yes7c1,829$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5d…4990backed Yes2c1,826$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc6…839cbacked Yes1c1,767$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes3c1,700$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21772.6%2 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes2c1,700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.12543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…661bbacked Yes3c1,569$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes2c1,563$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.714139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9a…fd53backed Yes2c1,521$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395b…52efbacked Yes1c1,474$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd39a…6629backed Yes1c1,456$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes1c1,455$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.711010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes1c1,450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2815014%21 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c16…9e04backed Yes3c1,441$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb84…335ebacked Yes1c1,433$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1498…10e4backed Yes3c1,433$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ce…d85dbacked Yes1c1,424$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes3c1,411$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.36147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ed…17b7backed Yes1c1,408$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1900…0539backed Yes3c1,406$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6e9…35d1backed Yes2c1,361$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…7828backed Yes2c1,343$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fd…22e8backed Yes6c1,265$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7150%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b20…ba99backed Yes3c1,244$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc0…da46backed Yes4c1,231$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c1,222$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6624110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a41…2902backed Yes1c1,220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599a…bd31backed Yes2c1,219$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c4…25c4backed Yes4c1,179$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c82…12aabacked Yes2c1,168$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c1,164$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521425.6%8 W · 134 L-27.2wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9ad8…19b0backed Yes9c1,114$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7b…f843backed Yes1c1,110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…31abbacked Yes2c1,056$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.165628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…727bbacked Yes3c1,025$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7e…f07dbacked Yes2c1,021$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa4f…cfa2backed Yes1c911.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee56…2347backed Yes2c910.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x735a…2b14backed Yes3c898.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fde…0ca2backed Yes5c807.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…8324backed Yes1c805.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e12…55ffbacked Yes2c802.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes2c682$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.973818.4%7 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x821c…d6d7backed Yes2c680.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce9…6ce4backed Yes4c673.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc244…c59fbacked Yes15c669.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d7…99bfbacked Yes4c658.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf327…4084backed Yes2c655.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc841…752abacked Yes2c621.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…e3b7backed Yes5c592.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e1…058bbacked Yes2c557.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb31…deb6backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec3…e861backed Yes11c465.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2009…476fbacked Yes4c464.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b47…9022backed Yes3c451.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…2ddbbacked Yes8c441.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b5…6121backed Yes3c439.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517c…4c8abacked Yes7c401.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe118…e929backed Yes3c372.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…bd88backed Yes4c359.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6908…cb52backed Yes4c353.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…a52abacked Yes4c333.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.