World Politics · resolved market
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819197b2e6c7900dccb8620a4e8b4ac03adce8ba655eeab75e1c76f88d4c51ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $658,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2219…313fbacked Yes | 0c | 100,840$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…a09ebacked Yes | 11c | 61,020$6,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,995.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…d074backed Yes | 13c | 31,434$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 19,716$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.78 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e57…b75ebacked Yes | 9c | 19,051$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…0079backed Yes | 6c | 11,057$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…edd3backed Yes | 6c | 10,816$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…fa76backed Yes | 11c | 10,613$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…1743backed Yes | 13c | 10,356$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…c623backed Yes | 2c | 9,563$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,554$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 9,010$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 7,075$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.13 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 5,284$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…8f9bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,955$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…22e8backed Yes | 3c | 4,810$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…71b8backed Yes | 11c | 4,741$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…2ea0backed Yes | 11c | 4,569$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…0dc7backed Yes | 7c | 4,401$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…2892backed Yes | 11c | 4,329$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…9983backed Yes | 9c | 4,200$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…f36bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,152$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532e…c811backed Yes | 12c | 4,075$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…1843backed Yes | 5c | 3,963$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…661bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,771$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…8399backed Yes | 4c | 3,555$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…03d7backed Yes | 11c | 3,422$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273e…241ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,191$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 5c | 2,986$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…19b0backed Yes | 10c | 2,726$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…fd53backed Yes | 8c | 2,704$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…2714backed Yes | 3c | 2,675$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…1f62backed Yes | 13c | 2,673$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…7991backed Yes | 8c | 2,591$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c82…12aabacked Yes | 4c | 2,560$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…e11ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,544$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…063bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,470$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…fbf2backed Yes | 5c | 2,302$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…ac11backed Yes | 9c | 2,273$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…aeebbacked Yes | 11c | 2,237$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb235…f947backed Yes | 7c | 2,210$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…792dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,179$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…c46fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,139$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…e905backed Yes | 11c | 2,107$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,103$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…ea64backed Yes | 10c | 2,101$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…87e9backed Yes | 8c | 2,095$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…ffe0backed Yes | 5c | 2,064$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…9455backed Yes | 7c | 1,962$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,924$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…fa9ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,889$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…8bedbacked Yes | 13c | 1,853$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…eea0backed Yes | 8c | 1,800$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,798$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…dd4abacked Yes | 13c | 1,749$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…9494backed Yes | 11c | 1,737$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed Yes | 2c | 1,730$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…4d32backed Yes | 11c | 1,728$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc0…da46backed Yes | 3c | 1,700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…4ea8backed Yes | 9c | 1,678$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,675$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,674$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…64edbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,638$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…5b52backed Yes | 8c | 1,625$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…9e04backed Yes | 6c | 1,603$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…a3e0backed Yes | 59c | 1,590$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…42a8backed Yes | 10c | 1,582$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,551$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…3574backed Yes | 10c | 1,540$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62e…bb2ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,532$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 4c | 1,487$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…727bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,447$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…a144backed Yes | 9c | 1,410$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5a…cb1dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…077bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,326$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,308$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…52efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,303$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab2…24ffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,301$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…6208backed Yes | 7c | 1,296$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…cf66backed Yes | 8c | 1,295$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 1,289$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…3182backed Yes | 8c | 1,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 7c | 1,245$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…30c0backed Yes | 12c | 1,237$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…0783backed Yes | 6c | 1,182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,162$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…f3d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,128$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,067$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…70bfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,066$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc600…e634backed Yes | 5c | 1,055$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,042$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…b9c5backed Yes | 9c | 1,038$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…de6ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,038$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3448backed Yes | 9c | 1,014$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…776ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,003$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…bf58backed Yes | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768e…b13dbacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e4…5fcbbacked Yes | 6c | 993.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…2087backed Yes | 10c | 955.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?this page
- Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Fernando Zamora Castellanos win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes won
- Will Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Natalia Díaz Quintana win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
- Will Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.