TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb1dd…376a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT9057.8%52 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.33
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.75
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.35
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.3
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.63
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.25
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.1
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+579.4%+$343.68
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.84
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.7
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.39
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.52
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.86
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.87
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Netherlands leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$22.42
Ecuador leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.54
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+199.7%+$19.99
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+391.7%+$201.07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+88.6%+$80.53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$107.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.59
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+30.4%+$9.32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+43.7%+$243.2
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$234.66
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.55
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.15
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.7%+$22.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.