South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b9fb7f0b33f5e6f29ddf4081ff1ea96e84ea8ab5c4c21e59ad48bb47b973add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 14,699$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6bb4backed Yes | 60c | 1,477$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 24c | 1,248$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 36c | 1,213$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.54 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 593.65$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 56c | 562$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 551.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 492.53$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 27c | 404.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…5045backed Yes | 63c | 317.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 312.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 224$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 63c | 212.44$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 20c | 208$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 80c | 185.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514d…3893backed Yes | 65c | 184.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 24c | 183.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Yes | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 63c | 165.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked Yes | 65c | 154.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 22c | 144.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 70c | 142.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 130.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 126.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…f6efbacked Yes | 65c | 105.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 38c | 100.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 91.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…7a68backed Yes | 61c | 89.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 75.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…b49abacked Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 24c | 69.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa417…4e82backed Yes | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 61c | 58.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 52.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 80c | 41.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…f89dbacked Yes | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 66c | 38.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…aa58backed Yes | 80c | 35.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…4ab0backed Yes | 65c | 35.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 36c | 33.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffb…25d1backed Yes | 60c | 31.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 25.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 24.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf2…6b26backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…7645backed Yes | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…63fabacked Yes | 65c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…93f6backed Yes | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…af3cbacked Yes | 61c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…1c8bbacked Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…384ebacked Yes | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…7187backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 80c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…c44dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.