Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3551d254cc2a7993ef9a6ac7565d7aeb1988523c5086f23fc5ebb877135fa077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 613 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked No | 1c | 108,540$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.41 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed No | 7c | 17,847$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 17c | 16,149$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,464.61 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 34c | 11,312$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.96 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 58c | 7,845$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.34 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 37c | 7,816$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.64 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…46b1backed Yes | 28c | 7,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 39c | 7,108$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…97b4backed No | 10c | 6,700$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…1cccbacked Yes | 65c | 6,689$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 16c | 6,512$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,458.55 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 56c | 6,442$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked No | 0c | 5,740$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 52c | 5,336$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.54 | 532 | 5.3%28 W · 504 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,788$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…9480backed Yes | 26c | 4,573$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.38 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 36c | 4,432$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.48 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 30c | 4,259$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.88 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.96 | 209 | 7.7%16 W · 193 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 64c | 3,994$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.92 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…c403backed No | 61c | 3,887$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed No | 39c | 3,583$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed No | 37c | 3,517$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.39 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 29c | 3,364$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.9 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…4692backed Yes | 43c | 3,259$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…1dffbacked Yes | 39c | 3,016$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90c…0d37backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…22e4backed Yes | 67c | 2,986$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed Yes | 54c | 2,563$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.56 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes | 48c | 2,454$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 78c | 2,411$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.38 | 185 | 31.4%58 W · 127 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…9d3cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,154$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 38c | 2,030$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.75 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…b42abacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 85 | 8.2%7 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 51c | 1,964$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.51 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 68c | 1,899$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.14 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Yes | 22c | 1,882$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +346.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 48c | 1,579$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.92 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…1896backed Yes | 78c | 1,552$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes | 29c | 1,510$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.8 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked No | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 524 | 9.9%52 W · 472 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 76c | 1,489$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.68 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 15c | 1,376$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 69c | 1,364$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.58 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…e29ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,307$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 67c | 1,300$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…cdc1backed Yes | 26c | 1,267$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.46 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…75a7backed No | 2c | 1,213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 15c | 1,204$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.99 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…e157backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,150$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +509%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,118$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…1925backed No | 9c | 1,100$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 52c | 1,090$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.72 | 174 | 34.5%60 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…2a26backed Yes | 78c | 1,085$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed No | 67c | 1,073$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 8c | 1,023$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.53 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…305fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,007$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.46 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…9917backed Yes | 16c | 1,005$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…fc71backed Yes | 26c | 1,004$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.79 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 48c | 1,003$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.72 | 155 | 20%31 W · 124 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed No | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…6422backed Yes | 15c | 994.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.33 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 24c | 989.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.98 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 63c | 985.15$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…85f7backed Yes | 38c | 983.89$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…b2fabacked Yes | 22c | 977.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.67 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 52c | 961.39$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.91 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 36c | 959.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.89 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 44c | 901.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed No | 1c | 900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 25c | 899.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked Yes | 16c | 899.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.62 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5072backed Yes | 62c | 863.59$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 15c | 850.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.47 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 25c | 847.59$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.41 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 17c | 844.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…8223backed Yes | 31c | 810.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 68c | 800$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.7 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes | 44c | 800$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes | 15c | 781.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.69 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879f…8417backed Yes | 26c | 778.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.48 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 54c | 715.69$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 679.68$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.56 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…377fbacked Yes | 34c | 668.48$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…4461backed No | 5c | 658.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…06d8backed Yes | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469a…c784backed No | 3c | 650$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…8890backed Yes | 27c | 619.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.38 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.