Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce39c0cf6371e7955f7b8e105c76d1dd0d3ac64d63167fc0390040e71fff91e

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $481,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $300,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	152,010$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.85	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	21,445$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.19	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	4c	16,303$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.69	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	7,366$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.36	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	4c	5,258$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.54	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	5,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.22	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	1c	4,730$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	14c	4,495$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.25	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	15c	4,406$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c92…b9c9backed Yes	0c	4,176$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	16c	4,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,827$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.77	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	3,570$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,171$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	7c	2,754$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.12	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	2,500$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2f7…55dcbacked Yes	10c	2,000$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	17c	1,749$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	11c	1,500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.99	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	14c	1,448$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.9	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes	14c	1,394$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	2c	1,200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0545…02a0backed Yes	8c	1,161$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.99	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	8c	1,005$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.4	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.04	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0479…6422backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…1398backed Yes	14c	1,000$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.5	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacfe…b2fabacked Yes	9c	980$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	14c	956.31$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	14c	951$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.14	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe52e…af63backed Yes	5c	950$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	933.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd166…cdc1backed Yes	15c	909.82$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.49	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	7c	889.02$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.61	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	13c	880.86$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.49	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	5c	800$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes	18c	799.89$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.41	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd02c…769fbacked Yes	13c	783.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	12c	782$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.84	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x328b…a089backed Yes	14c	769.99$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.8	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	1c	766.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	68	2.9%2 W · 66 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	20c	739.63$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7847…fc71backed Yes	14c	709.31$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	15c	700$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	2c	661.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes	2c	655$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Yes	14c	649.92$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.32	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	19c	647$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.46	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…7aa9backed Yes	8c	628.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.32	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe950…6717backed Yes	6c	607.95$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.93	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Yes	15c	600$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee38…a5a9backed Yes	10c	600$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	10c	600$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	3c	598.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	578.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.21	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd494…deacbacked Yes	16c	560.96$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.75	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb558…6d3cbacked Yes	8c	550$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-76%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	4c	535.68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0d…5a0cbacked Yes	14c	521.43$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	19cpaid	-87%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd25b…dd82backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd738…d07ebacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6589…39e2backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes	11c	498.9$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8134…305fbacked Yes	21c	477.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7081…3970backed Yes	4c	474.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1e…6340backed Yes	15c	465.1$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…fb04backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	11c	405$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d9…be50backed Yes	10c	403.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.31	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes	11c	400$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…ab1cbacked Yes	18c	389.71$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes	6c	386.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	11c	367.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c4c…4dafbacked Yes	12c	363.2$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	12c	342.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.83	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbf…83d3backed Yes	15c	331.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9bd…0568backed Yes	14c	330.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x16a8…7686backed Yes	16c	321.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f90…5b7ebacked Yes	16c	316.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…8860backed Yes	17c	300.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d1…210ebacked Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8423…b93dbacked Yes	12c	299.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	17c	296.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.34	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	294.23$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.01	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes	17c	288.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	15c	286$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.9	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40f…091cbacked Yes	14c	269.92$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Yes	18c	268.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.19	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…2a26backed Yes	14c	258.35$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.83	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab47…2d6dbacked Yes	20c	250.32$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…8692backed Yes	17c	250$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5436…e29ebacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x350e…ed02backed Yes	7c	220$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1b…8263backed Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event