Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eafbdc2ba0bbc9fcfc0dfbf21e8dd3544e3b42db56ad2b477c213dd782333ba

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $723,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $475,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,269 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	39,155$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.19	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	8c	23,866$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.83	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	4c	23,533$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.18	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	16,542$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.76	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	4c	15,230$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.1	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	8c	14,778$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.2	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	11,606$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.64	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	4c	11,203$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.02	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	4c	10,753$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.95	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	5c	10,624$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.08	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	5c	9,847$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.62	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	9,371$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.63	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	6c	9,189$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.46	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6440…882cbacked Yes	7c	9,095$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	8,500$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.51	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	14c	8,000$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.5	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	2c	7,819$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.42	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	6,250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.25	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	13c	6,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	5,127$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.06	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	7c	4,824$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.96	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	4c	4,814$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.4	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	21c	4,800$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.38	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	12c	4,378$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.75	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663a…5c51backed Yes	15c	4,160$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.31	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	4,000$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…56b9backed Yes	8c	3,307$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.46	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	8c	3,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.88	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x111d…85f7backed Yes	11c	3,134$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.91	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	3,115$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	18c	3,023$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.4	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe644…1dffbacked Yes	6c	3,016$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.84	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	4c	3,000$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Yes	3c	2,975$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.58	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	1c	2,901$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked No	75c	2,864$2,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.95	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	11c	2,700$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.05	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0545…02a0backed Yes	19c	2,638$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.21	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	4c	2,635$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.16	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d0…2368backed Yes	21c	2,536$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	17c	2,529$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e4…d847backed Yes	15c	2,457$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.74	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	17c	2,456$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.28	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	5c	2,422$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.6	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes	24c	2,367$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.83	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	8c	2,202$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.12	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	6c	2,144$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.13	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x231d…9e4ebacked No	67c	2,115$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+37%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	2,090$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	15c	2,082$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd74d…ff5ebacked No	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	1,887$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.52	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	19c	1,804$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.8	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	79c	1,726$1,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.99	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	4c	1,726$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	1,606$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.12	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	5c	1,600$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	65c	1,599$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.64	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6860…ef1fbacked Yes	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4589…12adbacked Yes	20c	1,495$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	12cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff1…bd17backed Yes	10c	1,478$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.47	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9437…4692backed Yes	36c	1,397$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	28c	1,390$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.33	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	5c	1,376$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.05	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes	7c	1,329$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.3	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	19c	1,324$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.07	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes	15c	1,313$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	73c	1,306$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.34	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,245$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	10c	1,191$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.68	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5801…a4afbacked Yes	7c	1,186$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Yes	2c	1,176$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	19c	1,150$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.44	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd166…cdc1backed Yes	14c	1,104$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.86	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb05a…e812backed Yes	35c	1,090$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cb…d0d5backed Yes	35c	1,063$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfbc…167cbacked Yes	21c	1,054$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.76	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+74.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x440b…9183backed Yes	7c	1,024$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	7c	1,011$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.81	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	32c	1,004$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	16c	1,003$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.42	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…3061backed Yes	3c	1,000$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0479…6422backed Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	32c	999.98$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6c…5ab5backed No	78c	999.98$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b3…1d56backed Yes	2c	998.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacfe…b2fabacked Yes	35c	983.05$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.77	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	966.63$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.82	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Yes	20c	950$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.5	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…af63backed Yes	5c	949.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb796…58a8backed Yes	7c	938$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.66	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	20c	936.41$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.28	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	22c	926.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	34c	881.24$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.62	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes	10c	863.92$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.28	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…06c4backed Yes	24c	838.29$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.54	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes	18c	828.33$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.76	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	22c	807.36$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.92	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8134…305fbacked Yes	14c	789.39$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.62	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event