TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35f3…cfd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
503
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT43719.7%86 W · 351 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 437 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$47.78
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.96
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$201.86
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,368Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$988.88
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+62%+$219.68
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.98
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$60.31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$721.93
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.91
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.33
Showing 25 of 437 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$414.99
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$134.13
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Spread: Australia (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$60.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$193
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$136.86
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$334.55
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+138.1%+$82.86
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$115.5
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+54.3%+$16.28
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+25%+$5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.99
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.