AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90022f8972b01ea54fafc30e38412b2f6bcfe5544f3cfbfbcba0cd1b3fc1b3d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 2c | 11,221$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 12c | 10,900$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 21c | 7,032$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.44 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 16c | 7,006$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 6c | 6,941$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 11c | 5,607$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.78 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…1ce0backed No | 15c | 4,168$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…5c3dbacked No | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 14c | 3,700$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 20c | 3,500$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.48 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 12c | 2,964$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked No | 27c | 2,796$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…a3dfbacked No | 20c | 2,705$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 20c | 2,702$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 29c | 2,589$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 20c | 2,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked No | 4c | 2,225$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 75c | 2,203$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 23c | 2,100$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,676$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 76c | 1,600$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 13c | 1,423$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…98c1backed Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 21c | 1,277$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 15c | 1,275$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 24c | 1,165$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 18c | 1,104$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 30c | 1,081$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 24c | 1,031$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…8f39backed No | 25c | 1,011$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…03cfbacked No | 25c | 1,004$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…cc4cbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…3ef3backed No | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…74fdbacked No | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 19c | 951.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 73c | 908.94$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked No | 19c | 885.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…0fb2backed No | 18c | 880.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 24c | 858.64$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…7044backed No | 24c | 836.27$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked No | 30c | 809.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed Yes | 78c | 799.25$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 21c | 749.96$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 26c | 723.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 73c | 709.07$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 67c | 573.14$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed No | 14c | 563.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed No | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 79c | 538.86$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed No | 28c | 534.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked Yes | 79c | 525.96$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5b75backed No | 3c | 520$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 12c | 507.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked No | 24c | 507.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 37c | 471.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 22c | 465.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 461.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 75c | 455.14$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 7c | 410.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…0afabacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0a…4775backed No | 25c | 399.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 14c | 390.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked No | 24c | 381.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…9a5ebacked Yes | 74c | 379.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 17c | 364.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…6cadbacked No | 23c | 361.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185b…4b6abacked No | 16c | 343.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 73c | 337.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 65c | 330.55$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Yes | 77c | 330.1$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked No | 19c | 320.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 66c | 319.07$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 7c | 315.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 16c | 315.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…4cefbacked No | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb473…c2debacked No | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…1632backed No | 26c | 273.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 17c | 273.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 36c | 268$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed Yes | 77c | 253.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 30c | 251.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 20c | 250.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…02a3backed Yes | 73c | 223.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked No | 36c | 220.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…f9ebbacked No | 32c | 217.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…5ee8backed Yes | 78c | 203.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 200.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked No | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2817backed Yes | 77c | 199$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…1f27backed No | 28c | 198.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.